reports
- Anthony Dick
- Emira Sagaama
- Marc Lavaud
- Michael Foundoukidis
- Youssef Besbes
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 10/03/2024
DEME, the world’s leading offshore wind installation company and top 3 in the global dredging market, delivered a better than expected H1. Its share price, however, corrected by 15-20% as DEME’s outlook was weaker than expected. In this report, we explain there are three good reasons why DEME management is holding its cards at its chest: (1) US elections; (2) Gaza conflict, and (3) the still uncertain usage of its € 1.0-1.5bn war chest. Expecting DEME to not only use the war chest for...
- Anthony Dick
- Emira Sagaama
- Marc Lavaud
- Michael Foundoukidis
- Youssef Besbes
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 03/10/2024
DEME, the world’s leading offshore wind installation company and top 3 in the global dredging market, delivered a better than expected H1. Its share price, however, corrected by 15-20% as DEME’s outlook was weaker than expected. In this report, we explain there are three good reasons why DEME management is holding its cards at its chest: (1) US elections; (2) Gaza conflict, and (3) the still uncertain usage of its € 1.0-1.5bn war chest. Expecting DEME to not only use the war chest for...
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
Lar España : Helios RE ups its bid for Lar España
>An improved offer - Yesterday, after market close, Helios RE, a consortium comprising Hines and Grupo Lar, announced an improved offer for Lar España. The offer price has been increased by €0.20 per share, representing a 2.5% enhancement to €8.30 per share.Additionally, Helios RE has secured an agreement with Castellana Properties, which is ultimately owned by Vukile Property, stipulating that Castellana Properties will tender its shares for cash once the accept...
- Luis Arredondo
ROVI: UN ATRACTIVO PUNTO DE ENTRADA (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
Un atractivo punto de entrada. Cambiamos a SOBREPONDERAR. El valor ha caído un -22% desde máximos de mayo (-25% vs IBEX), por la rebaja de estimaciones de Moderna y la reducción de los candidatos para adquirir su división CDMO. Con todo, nuestras estimaciones para CDMO ya son conservadoras (tanto en números como en valoración) y a los niveles actuales vemos un atractivo punto de entrada. Subimos +8% P.O. hasta 90,0 euros/acc. (+26% potencial) tras hacer roll-over e incorporar de forma independie...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 03 0CTUBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: LAR ESPAÑA, OHLA, ROVI. EUROPA: INFORME ANUAL EURO STOXX 50, SAP, TOTAL ENERGIES. A la espera de novedades en Oriente Medio Las bolsas europeas cerraron muy planas, ya que la depreciación del euro ayudó a capear la mayor prima por riesgo geopolítico. Con todo lo anterior, en el STOXX 600 Energía repitió como el mejor sector (gracias al avance del Brent) seguido por Tecnología mientras que Utilities y Viajes&Ocio terminaron con las mayores correccion...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 03 OCTOBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: LAR ESPAÑA, OHLA, ROVI. Awaiting news from the Middle East European stock markets ended flat, as the depreciation of the euro contributed to offset the increasing premium for geopolitical risk. Thus, in the STOXX 600, Energy continued to be the best-performing sector (thanks to the rally of Brent crude), followed by Technology, whereas Utilities and Travel&Leisure ended with the biggest drops. On the macro side, in the euro zone, the 2Q’24 unemployment rate remained stable at 6.4%...
- Christophe Chaput
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : The recovery is only beginning and the best is yet to come
The rate cut carried out and yet to come (ECB: -125bp to -150bp to come by end-2025e) is a real driver for listed real estate and creates the conditions enabling it to outperform. In this context, we are lifting 23 target prices for the 42 stocks covered. Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing are now our Top Picks. Aedifica (Outperform vs Neutral) should also benefit. Lastly, we are lowering Care Property to Neutral and SFL to Underperform. - >...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Christophe Chaput
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : La reprise ne fait que commencer et le meilleur est à venir
La baisse de taux actée et à venir (BCE : -125 à 150 pb à venir d’ici fin 2025e) agit comme un véritable catalyseur pour l’immobilier côté et crée les conditions lui permettant de surperformer. Dans ce cadre, nous relevons 23 objectifs de cours sur 42 valeurs suivies. Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia et Xior Student Housing constituent désormais nos top picks. Aedifica (Surperformance vs Neutre) devrait également en bénéficier. Enfin, nous abaissons Care Property à N...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 25 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: OHLA, SACYR, SANTANDER, TALGO. EUROPA: DHL, PROSUS, SAP. China anima a parte del mercado Los sectores cíclicos de Europa reaccionaron con fuertes subidas al anuncio de estímulos por parte de la Autoridad Monetaria china (PBoC). Así, en el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores fueron R. Básicos y B. Consumo (lujo) frente a Inmobiliario y S. Financieros que sufrieron las mayores caídas. Por el lado macro, en Alemania el IFO de septiembre descendió algo más d...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 25 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: OHLA, SACYR, SANTANDER, TALGO. China spurs section of market Cyclical sectors in Europe reacted with sharp gains to the announcement of stimulus measures from the PBoC. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Basic Materials and Consumer Goods (Luxury), with Real Estate and Financial Services falling the most. On the macro side, in Germany September’s IFO fell slightly more than expected, suggesting a slight contraction in the 3Q’24 GDP. From the ECB, K. Knot (President...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 24 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: NEINOR HOMES, OHLA, SOLARIA. IBEX on the cusp of 11,800 points The session in Europe was driven in part by the positive opening in the US, which continues its record trend and seeks to hit a new record high. In the STOXX 600, and after strong sector rotation during the session, Autos and Retail rose the most, with Pharma and Banks being the worst relative performers. On the macro side, in Spain the Govt. will raise GDP’24 growth to 2.7% from the previous 2.4%, in line with the 2.8...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 24 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: NEINOR HOMES, OHLA, SOLARIA. EUROPA: BNP PARIBAS, DHL GROUP, UNICREDIT. El Ibex se queda a las puertas de los 11.800 puntos Jornada europea de menos a más, impulsada en parte por la apertura positiva en EE.UU. que continúa su tendencia de récord y busca renovar máximos históricos. Así en el STOXX 600, y tras bastante rotación sectorial durante la sesión, Autos y Retail fueron los sectores que más subieron, frente a Farma y Bancos que tuvieron el pe...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 23 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: LAR, ROVI. EUROPA: SECTOR BANCARIO, SEGUROS Y ENERGÍA ITALIA, UNICREDIT. A pesar de la Fed, semana plana en el STOXX La buena acogida a la decisión de bajar -50 p.b. tipos se vio compensada por los miedos a la demanda china. Con todo lo anterior, el STOXX 600 terminó cerrando con ligeras caídas, con Retail y Viajes&Ocio presentando las mayores subidas semanales mientras que defensivos como Alimentación y Farma acabaron con las mayores ventas. Por el...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 23 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: LAR ESPAÑA, ROVI. Flat week on the STOXX, despite the Fed The Fed’s well-received decision to cut interest rates by -50bps was offset by the fears surrounding Chinese demand. With this in mind, the STOXX 600 ended with slight losses, with Retail and Travel & Leisure posting the biggest weekly gains, whereas defensive sectors like Food and Pharma ended with the biggest losses. On the macro side, in the UK August’s retail sales were in line with expectations. In the euro zone, consu...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 19 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: LAR ESPAÑA, TELEFÓNICA. The Fed cut rates by 50bps in the end It was a transition session with slight corrections for European stock markets that put an end to the Ibex’s rally that led it to return to 2015 highs. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Automobiles and Energy were the only sector avoiding drops, which were led by Media, Food and Consumer Goods. On the macro side, in the euro zone, August’s final monthly inflation was cut by one tenth to 0.1% (with the YoY data unchanged at 2.2%). ...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 19 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: LAR ESPAÑA, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: BASF, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, UNICREDIT. Finalmente la Fed se decanta por los 50 puntos de recorte Sesión de transición con leves caídas en las bolsas europeas, que cortó la racha alcista en el Ibex que le llevó a renovar máximos de 2015. Así, en el STOXX 600 tan sólo Autos y Energía esquivaron las caídas que estuvieron lideradas por Media, Alimentación y B. de Consumo. Por el lado macro, en la Eurozona la inflación mensual...
- Research Department
INFORME DIARIO 18 SEPTIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: NATURGY, OHLA. El mercado se decanta por recortes de 50 puntos hoy para la Fed Nueva sesión de avances en Europa, después de que los últimos datos desde EE.UU. muestran que el gasto del consumidor está aguantando y la producción industrial intenta despertar. En el STOXX 600 destacaron las subidas de Retail y Viajes&Ocio mientras que Inmobiliario y Farma presentaron las mayores correcciones. Por el lado macro, en Alemania el índice ZEW de septiembre...
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 18 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: NATURGY, OHLA. The market bets on 50bps cuts today by the Fed It was a new session of gains for European stock markets after the latest macro data released in the US showed that consumer spending is keeping up and industrial output is trying to recover. Thus, in the STOXX 600 Retail and Travel&Leisure led gains, whereas Real Estate and Pharma posted the biggest drops. On the macro side, in Germany, September’s ZEW index came in much worse than expected both in terms of expectation...
- Luis Arredondo
- Research Department
IBERIAN DAILY 13 SEPTEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)
NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, CHANGES IBEX, IBERDROLA, OHLA. ECB follows the script Another session of gains in Europe that was largely unaffected by the ECB, which lowered rates as expected. The IBEX again led the advance, closing above 11,400 points. Thus, in the STOXX 600 almost all sectors closed with gains, led by Basic Materials and Technology, with Utilities and Pharma being the worst performers with slight drops. On the macro side, the ECB lowered the deposit facility rate by -25bps and the margin...
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