VMO2’s Q2 results show that customer losses and ARPU trends have slipped further in Q2. Although all guidance has been reiterated supported by hopes of a B2B turnaround and near-term cost measures, we think these KPI trends will make it more difficult to sustain organic EBITDA growth into FY26.
2Q'25 vs. 2Q'24 Results Sales: € 8.953 Bn (-12.7% vs. -13.0% consensus); EBITDA: € 2.905 Bn (-9.8% vs. -9.5% consensus); EBIT: € 1.034 Bn (+1.3% vs. -0.7% consensus); Net Profit: € -51.0 M (€ 447.0 M in 1H'24 vs. € 104.0 M consensus); 1H'25 vs. 1H'24 Results Sales: € 18.013 Bn (-11.7% vs. -11.0% consensus); EBITDA: € 5.895 Bn (-8.2% vs. -7.7% consensus); EBIT: € 2.109 Bn (+2.2% vs. +1.3% consensus); Net Profit: € -1.355.0 M (€ 979.0 M in 1H'24 vs. € -1.200.0 M consensus);
The main event for Telefonica shareholders in H2 will be the strategic review outcome, rather than the Q2 or Q3 results, but nonetheless these are a solid set of results with all guidance reiterated. On one hand, we see upside from consensus FCF for 2025 being too low, but on the other hand, we worry that the outcome of the strategic review might not be as shareholder-friendly in the near-term as some might like.
Rdos. 2T'25 vs 2T'24: Ventas: 8.953 M euros (-12,7% vs -13,0% consenso); EBITDA: 2.921 M euros (-9,8% vs -9,5% consenso); EBIT: 1.034 M euros (+1,3% y -0,7% consenso); BDI: -51,0 M euros (417,0 M euros en 2T'24 vs y 104,0 M euros consenso); Rdos. 1S'25 vs 1S'24: Ventas: 18.013 M euros (-11,7% vs -11,0% consenso); EBITDA: 5.895 M euros (-8,2% vs -7,7% consenso); EBIT: 2.109 M euros (+2,2% vs +1,3% consenso); BDI: -1.355,0 M euros (950,0 M euros en 1S'24 vs -1.200,0 M euros consenso).
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, REDEIA, SACYR, SANTANDER, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: ADIDAS, DANONE, KERING, L’ORÉAL, MERCEDES BENZ GROUP. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 2T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Los resultados toman el relevo Recuperación marcada por el...
NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, REDEIA, SACYR, SANTANDER, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 2Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Results take centre stage Recovery in Europe in a session marked by the results calendar and news on the trade negotiations of the US with China and the EU. In the STOXX 600, the ral...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: BANCO SANTANDER, IBERDROLA, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: AXA. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 2T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Acuerdo comercial entre Europa y EE.UU. Semana de poco movimiento en Europa, donde finalmente se anunció el acuerdo comercial entre EE.UU. y la...
NEWS SUMMARY: IBERDROLA, SANTANDER, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 2Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Trade agreement between Europe and the US It was a week of little movement in Europe, where the trade agreement between the EU and the US was announced in the end with a general 15% tariff (vs. the threats of 30%) that will ...
NEWS SUMMARY: AEDAS HOMES, CAIXABANK, CHANGES IBEX, ELECTRICITY SECTOR, NEINOR HOMES, TELEFÓNICA. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East halt stock market gains The trade agreement between the US and China, and the solid inflation data in the US, were overshadowed by the increased geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors and the only ones in positive territory were Energy, Utilities and Pharma, with Financial Services and Telecoms falling th...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AEDAS, CAIXABANK, CAMBIOS IBEX, NEINOR, SECTOR ELECTRICO ESPAÑA, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: KERING, UNICREDIT. La tensión geopolítica en Oriente Medio frena la subidas de las bolsas El acuerdo comercial entre EE.UU. y China y los buenos datos de inflación en EE.UU. se vieron ensombrecidos por el incremento de las tensiones geopolíticas entre Irán e Israel. En el STOXX 600 los mejores sectores y los únicos en positivo fueron Energía, Utilities y Farma, fr...
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