In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols bymarket-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Yesterday's hotter-than-expected CPI report continues to suggest a more restrictive Fed policy than the market has been expecting. This raises the possibility of further consolidation for small- and mid-caps. Meanwhile, large-cap indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100) remain bullish, finding support at their respective 20-day MAs since November 2023; the only question is whether that will continue to be the case, as our main concern remains rising Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar (DXY), which have bro...
Downgrading Manufacturing to Market Weight Near-term we continue to see the S&P 500 moving higher, likely heading toward 4600 resistance. We also still believe it is possible we have seen the lows for this pause/pullback on the S&P 500, and we see a low probability of a meaningful correction if the SPX is above 4300-4325 (1.5-year support). As initially discussed in our 8/29/23 Compass, we would not be surprised to see another month+ (i.e., through the end of September, and possibly longer) of ...
MPC, PSX, VLO, DINO, PBF, CVI, DK, ESNT, MTG, RDN, NMIH, BRK.B, CB, MKL, CINF, ERIE, CNA, LII, FIX CSWI Upgrading Financials to Market Weight Fitch's U.S. credit downgrade has done little to change the intermediate-term trend; we continue to believe the path of least resistance is higher for the major equity indexes, which has been our stance since our 5/30/23 ETF Pathfinder. We remain bullish on the S&P 500, and we expect to see support at its 50-day MA moving forward (currently 4415). Short ...
Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") assigned a B1 rating to Delek US Holdings, Inc.'s ("Delek") proposed term loan B. The company's other ratings, including the Ba3 Corporate Family Rating (CFR) and SGL-3 Speculative Grade Liquidity rating, are unchanged. The rating outlook is stable. The proceeds...
Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") affirmed the ratings of Delek US Holdings, Inc. ("Delek"), including the Ba3 Corporate Family Rating (CFR) and B1 ratings on the existing senior secured term loans. The Speculative Grade Liquidity Rating was downgraded to SGL-3 from SGL-1. The rating outlook is ...
Small-Caps Starting to Lead We continue to see the current environment as a bear market rally with the potential for it turn into something more following bullish breadth thrust signals. Large-cap US indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100) have been treading water for a week (bull flags?), but many other indexes such as the Russell 2000 (IWM), DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China (MCHI), and China Internet (KWEB) have continued to move higher following their bullish reversals from the prior two weeks. We are also ...
CELC, RELY, STRY, FNKO, CVGW, TH, NAPA, NOC, DGII, RXST, OWLT, ESTE, AMPY, CIVI, WTI, SD, OAS, WLL, VOC, ROCC, LPI, SM, CVI, DK, PBF, RCKT, RXRX, CRSP, APYX, AMLX, IMPL, KDNY, IDYA, MIRM, YMAB, CYTK, HPK, RCMT, PWR, VTNR, In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term pa...
Bear Market Rally With Potential for More In last week's Compass (May 24) we noted the S&P 500 was testing support at 3800-3860 within its downtrend channel and that we were on watch for a potential bear market rally/oversold bounce. This has officially begun following the break above 4030 on the S&P 500, which was confirmed by bullish reversals on the Russell 2000 (IWM), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China (MCHI), and China Internet (KWEB). For now, we are treating this as a bear mark...
Fed Set to Hike 50 bps As Indexes Test Support We have warned over the past month that a test of the lows, and possibly a break to new lows, is increasingly likely on the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM). This has played-out as we recently made marginal new lows amid additional indiscriminate selling on Tuesday and Friday last week. There is potential for an oversold bounce, but we will need to see back-to-back 80%+ upside volume days or one 90%+ upside volume day on the NYSE i...
The independent financial analyst theScreener just requalified the general evaluation of DELEK US HOLDINGS (US), active in the Exploration & Production industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title still shows 3 out of 4 stars and its market behaviour is seen as risky. theScreener believes that the unfavourable environment weighs on the sector and penalises the company, which sees a downgrade to its general evaluation to Slightly Negative. As of the analysis date January 18, 2022, th...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Full Article at IIR has reaffirmed its Recommended rating for PIA after undertaking a review post the appointment of a new Portfolio Manager, Harding Loevner. The full report can be found on the IIR website. On 26 July 2021, Pengana International Equities Limited (PIA) announced a fully franked dividend of 1.35 cents per share for the June quarter. This represents an 8% increase on the March quarter dividend and takes the total dividends declared for FY21 of 5.1 cents per share, fully franked....
Announcement of Periodic Review: Moody's announces completion of a periodic review of ratings of Delek US Holdings, Inc.. Global Credit Research- 01 Jul 2021. New York, July 01, 2021-- Moody's Investors Service has completed a periodic review of the ratings of Delek US Holdings, Inc. and other ratings that are associated with the same analytical unit.
Current market expectations for LGIH are overly pessimistic. Markets expect UAFRS-based ROA (Uniform ROA or ROA') to drop to by roughly half, with growth being cut by two-thirds going forward. The market is not recognizing the secular tailwinds for LGI Homes from its own strategy, or the at-home revolution, and how both will continue to power strong profitability going forward. As one of the last homebuilders making the shift from a regional homebuilder to a national one, LGI Homes has signi...
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