Downgrading Outlook to Bearish; Stay Defensive We are officially downgrading our outlook to bearish with the S&P 500 (SPX) violating major support at 6480-6520, Nasdaq futures (NQ) violating 24,000 support, and the Russell 2000 (IWM) breaking down below crucial $245 support. This comes after downgrading our outlook to neutral in our 3/3/26 Compass. Concerns that we discussed since early-February stemmed from deteriorating market dynamics, and ever since then we have been "concerned about a deep...
A director at Delek US Holdings Inc sold 7,343 shares at 46.000USD and the significance rating of the trade was 66/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years cl...
Local Low in Place; Russell 2000 (IWM) Holds at $245 Our outlook as of last week (3/3/26 Compass) remains near-term neutral on the S&P 500 (SPX), after being bullish for all but one week since 4/22/25 (we went neutral 11/19/25-11/25/25). With that said, signs point to a local low being made yesterday after indexes went from heavily red, to firmly green as Trump signaled the war with Iran is nearing an end; Russell 2000 (IWM) held at 4+ year base support of $245, while S&P 500 futures (ES) held ...
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols bymarket-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Yesterday's hotter-than-expected CPI report continues to suggest a more restrictive Fed policy than the market has been expecting. This raises the possibility of further consolidation for small- and mid-caps. Meanwhile, large-cap indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100) remain bullish, finding support at their respective 20-day MAs since November 2023; the only question is whether that will continue to be the case, as our main concern remains rising Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar (DXY), which have bro...
Downgrading Manufacturing to Market Weight Near-term we continue to see the S&P 500 moving higher, likely heading toward 4600 resistance. We also still believe it is possible we have seen the lows for this pause/pullback on the S&P 500, and we see a low probability of a meaningful correction if the SPX is above 4300-4325 (1.5-year support). As initially discussed in our 8/29/23 Compass, we would not be surprised to see another month+ (i.e., through the end of September, and possibly longer) of ...
MPC, PSX, VLO, DINO, PBF, CVI, DK, ESNT, MTG, RDN, NMIH, BRK.B, CB, MKL, CINF, ERIE, CNA, LII, FIX CSWI Upgrading Financials to Market Weight Fitch's U.S. credit downgrade has done little to change the intermediate-term trend; we continue to believe the path of least resistance is higher for the major equity indexes, which has been our stance since our 5/30/23 ETF Pathfinder. We remain bullish on the S&P 500, and we expect to see support at its 50-day MA moving forward (currently 4415). Short ...
Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") assigned a B1 rating to Delek US Holdings, Inc.'s ("Delek") proposed term loan B. The company's other ratings, including the Ba3 Corporate Family Rating (CFR) and SGL-3 Speculative Grade Liquidity rating, are unchanged. The rating outlook is stable. The proceeds...
Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") affirmed the ratings of Delek US Holdings, Inc. ("Delek"), including the Ba3 Corporate Family Rating (CFR) and B1 ratings on the existing senior secured term loans. The Speculative Grade Liquidity Rating was downgraded to SGL-3 from SGL-1. The rating outlook is ...
Small-Caps Starting to Lead We continue to see the current environment as a bear market rally with the potential for it turn into something more following bullish breadth thrust signals. Large-cap US indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100) have been treading water for a week (bull flags?), but many other indexes such as the Russell 2000 (IWM), DAX, Hang Seng, MSCI China (MCHI), and China Internet (KWEB) have continued to move higher following their bullish reversals from the prior two weeks. We are also ...
CELC, RELY, STRY, FNKO, CVGW, TH, NAPA, NOC, DGII, RXST, OWLT, ESTE, AMPY, CIVI, WTI, SD, OAS, WLL, VOC, ROCC, LPI, SM, CVI, DK, PBF, RCKT, RXRX, CRSP, APYX, AMLX, IMPL, KDNY, IDYA, MIRM, YMAB, CYTK, HPK, RCMT, PWR, VTNR, In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term pa...
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