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Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 11 FEBRUARY + 4Q’25 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREV...

NEWS SUMMARY: ENDESA, INDRA, INSURANCE SECTOR, SANTANDER, TELEFÓNICA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Ibex remains at 18,100 points Stock markets fell in a transition session, waiting the employment data to be released today in the US. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Chemicals and Aut...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 11 FEBRERO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 4T’25. IDEAS DESTACA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ENDESA, INDRA, SANTANDER, SECTOR SEGUROS, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: AHOLD DELHAIZE, BAYER. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. El Ibex mantiene los 18.100 puntos Ligeras caídas en los mercados en una jornada de transición a la espera de l...

Suvi Platerink Kosonen
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

European banks/Larger banks lead in the non-bank sector

The substantial growth in non-bank assets has outpaced that of bank assets globally. Larger European banks are very much involved in this sector. In addition to the growth potential, this involvement comes with potential risks should the sector see a more substantial weakening.

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Rabobank and Barclays earnings, EBA consults on credit ris...

Rabobank hit by higher credit costs. Barclays: higher earnings and lower supply ahead in 2026. EBA opens consultation on credit risk framework simplification. Santander UK returns in EUR covered with a 3.25yr and 7yr

Marine Leleux ... (+3)
  • Marine Leleux
  • Maureen Schuller
  • Suvi Platerink Kosonen

Bank Brunch/Rabobank and Barclays earnings, EBA consults on credit ris...

Rabobank hit by higher credit costs. Barclays: higher earnings and lower supply ahead in 2026. EBA opens consultation on credit risk framework simplification. Santander UK returns in EUR covered with a 3.25yr and 7yr

Oscar Rodriguez
  • Oscar Rodriguez

ARCELORMITTAL: 4Q’25 RESULTS AND T.P. INCREASE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADEL...

4Q'25 vs. 4Q'24 Results EBITDA: US$ 1.59 Bn (-3.7% vs. -8.6% BS(e) and -7.6% consensus); Net Profit: US$ 654 M (+61.9% vs. -24.0% BS(e) and -21.0% consensus); FY2025 vs. FY2024 Results EBITDA: US$ 6.54 Bn (-7.3% vs. -8.4% BS(e) and -8.2% consensus); Net Profit: US$ 3.15 Bn (+135.4% vs. +109.5% BS(e) and +110.4% consensus).

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO : Long majors vs short LCC : le choix de 2026

Sur 2026, nous estimons que la dynamique sera plus favorable aux majors européennes tant sur le RASK (croissance plus modérée des capacités et meilleure orientation du réseau long-courrier en particulier transatlantique), que sur le CASK hors carburant aidé par des effets de base positifs. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance sur Air France-KLM et Lufthansa et dégradons Ryanair en Neutre et Wizz Air en Sous-performance.

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO : Long legacy carriers vs short LCC: the choice for 2026

For 2026, we think that the trend will be more favourable to the European legacy carriers in terms of both RASK (more modest growth in capacity and a more positive trend on the long-haul network, particularly transatlantic) and CASK excluding fuel, aided by positive base effects. We have upgraded Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Outperform, downgraded Ryanair to Neutral and Wizz Air to Underperform. A more favourable trend expected in 2026 for legacy carriers

Oscar Rodriguez
  • Oscar Rodriguez

ARCELORMITTAL: RDOS. 4T’25 Y CAMBIO DE P.O. AL ALZA (ANÁLISIS BANCO SA...

Rdos. 4T'25 vs 4T'24: EBITDA: 1.593 M dólares (-3,7% vs -8,6% BS(e) y -7,6% consenso); BDI: 654 M dólares (+61,9% vs -24,0% BS(e) y -21,0% consenso); Rdos. 2025 vs 2024: EBITDA: 6.541 M dólares (-7,3% vs -8,4% BS(e) y -8,2% consenso); BDI: 3.152 M dólares (+135,4% vs +109,5% BS(e) y +110,4% consenso).

Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould
Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 05 FEBRERO + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 4T’25. PREVIEWS (ANÁ...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ARCELORMITTAL, IAG, INDRA, SANTANDER, SECTOR AUTOPISTAS. EUROPA: ASML, BNP. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Estabilización de los mercados El Ibex no tiene techo Jornada positiva en las bolsas europeas de la mano de los resultad...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 05 FEBRUARY + 4Q’25 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SA...

NEWS SUMMARY: ARCELORMITTAL, HIGHWAY SECTOR, IAG, INDRA, SANTANDER. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 4Q’25 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Ibex continues to climb It was a positive session for European stock markets thanks to business results and despite mounting tension in Iran and the drops in the technology sector. In the STOXX 600, Chemi...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 02/04/2026

Sappi: Very weak Q1 2025/26 and disappointing outlook, but liquidity remains satisfactory|ams OSRAM to sell its non-optical sensors for €570m|Santander announced strong 2025 results and the acquisition of a US bank for USD 12.2 bn.|

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