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Pierre François Merveille
  • Pierre François Merveille

Orange : Feedback 7th TMT Credit Days – 16 & 17 March 2026

On 16 & 17 March, we organized our 7th TMT credit days with ten issuers in the telecoms, media and technology sectors: ams OSRAM, Atos, Canal+, Cellnex, Eutelsat, Nexi, Orange, Telecom Italia, Worldline and Zegona (Vodafone Spain). Over 100 credit investors registered to the event. This document summarizes the minutes of the virtual meetings by issuer. If you have participated to the meetings, we thank very much for filling in the questionnaires (links on page 2). Please don’t take this reminder...

Mateo Salcedo
  • Mateo Salcedo

Air France-KLM : Liquidity positions and low leverage cover airlines f...

European airlines closed up FY 2025 with a rather good feeling as Q4 2025 results showed good cost control capabilities which had been their main tailwind over the past 2-3 years. While the outlook for FY 2026 was to pursue the overall good performance, the war in Iran has created a different scenario. Demand continues to hold up driven by the premium segment and across all geographies. European airlines have added new capacity to the routes to and from Asia to gain market share due to Gulf airl...

Pierre François Merveille
  • Pierre François Merveille

Orange : Feedback 7th TMT Credit Days – 16 & 17 March 2026

On 16 & 17 March, we organized our 7th TMT credit days with ten issuers in the telecoms, media and technology sectors: ams OSRAM, Atos, Canal+, Cellnex, Eutelsat, Nexi, Orange, Telecom Italia, Worldline and Zegona (Vodafone Spain). Over 100 credit investors registered to the event. This document summarizes the minutes of the virtual meetings by issuer. If you have participated to the meetings, we thank very much for filling in the questionnaires (links on page 2). Please don’t take this reminder...

Mateo Salcedo
  • Mateo Salcedo

Air France-KLM : Liquidity positions and low leverage cover airlines f...

European airlines closed up FY 2025 with a rather good feeling as Q4 2025 results showed good cost control capabilities which had been their main tailwind over the past 2-3 years. While the outlook for FY 2026 was to pursue the overall good performance, the war in Iran has created a different scenario. Demand continues to hold up driven by the premium segment and across all geographies. European airlines have added new capacity to the routes to and from Asia to gain market share due to Gulf airl...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 23 MARZO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IAG, INDRA. EUROPA: N/A Semana de fuertes caídas Las bolsas europeas cerraron la semana con pérdidas que rondaron el -3,5% (-2,0% en el caso del Ibex) tras los ataques a instalaciones energéticas en la guerra de Irán que provocaron fuertes repuntes en el precio del petróleo y el gas. En el STOXX 600, todos los sectores menos Energía (apoyado en la fuerte subida del precio del Brent) cerraron con pérdidas, lideradas por R. Básicos y Media. En Franci...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 23 MARCH (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: IAG, INDRA. A week of sharp drops European stock markets ended the week with losses of around -3.5% (-2.0% in the case of the IBEX) after the attacks on energy infrastructures in the war in Iran, which led to heavy increases in oil and gas prices. In the STOXX 600, all the sectors except Energy (underpinned by the sharp rise in Brent prices) ended in the red, led by Basic Materials and Media. In France, the far-right party lost support in the second round of the local elections a...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Inwit (Buy, €9.5, +52%) Previously: €11.8 Relationship status: It's c...

Inwit has issued new guidance reflecting the breakdown in the relationship with the two anchor tenants (TIM and Swisscom), implying a mid-teens cut to our cash flow forecasts. But the market thinks there’s more to come, with the current share price implying a substantial cut to MSA revenue at renewal (whether that be in 2028 or 2038).

International Consolidated Airlines Group SA: 1 director

A director at International Consolidated Airlines Group SA bought 5,000 shares at 4.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors ov...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 13 MARZO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: BBVA, IAG, TELEFÓNICA. El crudo y las dudas en crédito privado lastran la confianza en las bolsas Aumentan las caídas en los índices europeos, con el S&P 500 jugándose el soporte de los 6.700 puntos. El Euro STOXX 50 tocó la referencia de los 5.750 puntos por las tensiones en Medio Oriente (el Brent volvió a los 99 d/b) y las preocupaciones sobre el crédito privado. En el STOXX 600, los mejores sectores fueron Químicas y Utilities mientras que Via...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 13 MARCH (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: BBVA, IAG, TELEFÓNICA. Crude oil and private credit drag down stock market confidence European stock markets fell further, with the S&P 500 on the verge of falling below the 6,700 point support. The Euro STOXX 50 hit 5,750 due to the tension in the Middle East (Brent returned to US$ 99/barrel) and the concerns on private credit. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors were Chemicals and Utilities, whereas Travel & Leisure and Banks suffered the biggest corrections. On the m...

Research Department
  • Research Department
CS AXA
BNP BMW ... (+3)

INFORME DIARIO 12 MARZO (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: REDEIA. EUROPA: AXA, BMW, SECTOR ELÉCTRICO. El riesgo geopolítico sigue presente Nuevas caídas en las bolsas presionadas por el nuevo repunte del Brent (+4,7%) ante los ataques a buques en el estrecho de Ormuz y a pesar de que la AIE acordó de manera unánime liberar 400 M barriles para mitigar el impacto de la crisis energética sobre la economía global (vs 182 M barriles en 2022 por la guerra de Ucrania). En el STOXX 600, solo Energía, Retail (por ...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

Cellnex/Risks from RAN sharing limited; cash flows are increasing

2025 marked a turning point for Cellnex as its Free Cash Flow generation accelerated. Moreover, the company continues to reduce leverage, through growth and divestments, to meet its leverage target of 5.0-6.0x net debt to EBITDA. We continue to believe the notes look attractive.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

MWC 2026 What caught our eye: Starlink and glasses!

We have just spent the past two days at Mobile World Congress (MWC) in Barcelona and amongst other things, we were taken by Starlink’s mobile announcement, wearable glasses and what wasn’t there on 6G.

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 03/02/2026

Picard: sharp deleveraging in Q3 thanks to strong free cash flow despite slightly weaker sales|THOM Group: a more reassuring start to Q2, guidance maintained, strategic measures developed.|SoftBank Group will invest an additional $ 30bn in OpenAI|Airlines and Chemicals: potential impacts from the war in Iran|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 02/03/2026

Picard : solide diminution du levier au T3 grâce à un bon free cash-flow malgré un CA un peu faible|THOM : un début de T2 plus rassurant, guidances maintenues, mesures stratégiques développées|SoftBank va investir 30 mds USD supplémentaires dans OpenAI|Airlines and Chemicals: potential impacts from the war in Iran|

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 02 MARCH (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: AMADEUS, AMPER, CAF, IBERDROLA, REDEIA, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. We begin a highly volatile week European stock markets ended last week with corrections whereas doubts persist in the technology sector and the geopolitical tension between the US and Iran continues. The Ibex endured battery of earnings and ended above 18,000 points. In the STOXX 600, the best-performing sectors last week were Utilities and Real Estate, whereas Basic Materials and Telecoms had the biggest drops....

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 02 MARZO + RDOS. EUROPA. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABAD...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: AMADEUS, AMPER, CAF, IBERDROLA, REDEIA, TALGO, TELEFÓNICA, UNICAJA. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 4T’25 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Empezamos una semana de elevada volatilidad Las bolsas europeas cerraron la semana con pérdidas, mientras persisten las dudas e...

Andres Bolumburu
  • Andres Bolumburu

CELLNEX: FY2025 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

4Q'25 vs. 4Q'24 Results Sales: € 1.058 Bn (+1.9% vs. -1.4% BS(e) and +1.0% consensus); EBITDA: € 881.0 M (+2.1% vs. +0.1% BS(e) and +1.0% consensus); FY2025 vs. FY2024 Results Sales: € 3.995 Bn (+1.4% vs. +0.5% BS(e) and +1.1% consensus); EBITDA: € 3.317 Bn (+2.1% vs. +1.5% BS(e) and +1.8% consensus); Net Profit: € -361.0 M (€ -28.0 M in FY2024);

Rafael Bonardell
  • Rafael Bonardell
James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Cellnex (Buy, €34, +8%) Q4 25: Highest organic tenancy growth for 7 y...

We think Cellnex’s organic tower demand is the highest it has been for 7 years. We see that alone as supportive for the Cellnex story.

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