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Michael B. Schäfer
  • Michael B. Schäfer

BASF : Feedback from mgmt. dinner - good October volumes, primarily in...

>Make or break € 8bn 2024 EBITDA guidance? 'Tight race', says mgmt; consensus already cautious at € 7.86bn, good 'Verbund' volume trends seen continuing in October - BASF hosted a sell-side/investors dinner with the executive board. BASF’s management confirmed a 'tight race' to make/break its FY 24 guidance, while the good volume trends seen primarily in the core 'Verbund' (Q3 24 +6.8% y-o-y vs 4.9% at group level) continued in October. The CEO indicated that this is ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 22 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: BANKING SECTOR, COLONIAL, GRIFOLS, POSSIBLE TAX CHANGES. Doubts on the markets It was a session that improved in European stock markets after Nvidia’s results release, with the markets ending with moderate gains and the IBEX rising back above 11,600 points. Within the STOXX 600, Insurance and Energy led the gains, with Telecoms and Consumer Goods ending with the biggest losses. In the euro zone, November’s preliminary consumer confidence fell more than expected. On the macro side,...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 22 NOVIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: COLONIAL, GRIFOLS, IMPUESTOS, SECTOR BANCARIO. EUROPA: AIR LIQUIDE, LINDE. Dudas en los mercados Jornada de menos a más tras los resultados de Nvidia en las bolsas europeas, que terminaron con subidas moderadas y con el Ibex recuperando los 11.600 puntos. Así, dentro del STOXX 600, Seguros y Energía lideraron las ganancias, frente a Telecos y Bienes de Consumo que terminaron con las mayores caídas. En la Eurozona la confianza del consumidor prelim...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 20 NOVEMBER (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

NEWS SUMMARY: CAIXABANK, ENDESA, GRIFOLS, POSSIBLE TAX CHANGES, TALGO. Russia shakes markets The threat of using nuclear weapons by Russia after Ukraine used its long-range missiles on Russian territory led to corrections in European stock markets that eased throughout the session after the Foreign Minister S. Lavrov stressed that Russia does not wish nor expect a nuclear war. Thus, in the STOXX 600, Real Estate and Pharma were the only sectors ending with gains vs. Banks and Automobiles that ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 20 NOVIEMBRE (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: CAIXABANK, GRIFOLS, IMPUESTOS ESPAÑA, TALGO. EUROPA: NOKIA. Rusia agita los mercados La amenaza de uso de armas nucleares por parte de Rusia después de que Ucrania utilizase sus misiles de largo alcance sobre territorio ruso deparó una sesión de caídas en Europa, que fueron moderándose a lo largo de la sesión después de que el ministro de exteriores ruso S. Lavrov remarcase que el país no desea ni espera una guerra nuclear. Así, dentro del STOXX 600...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 18 NOVEMBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SA...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ENDESA, GRIFOLS, MERLIN PROPERTIES, ROVI. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Post-electoral phase in the US After the confirmation that the Republican Party obtained majority in the two parliamentary chambers and following some announcements or possible appointments...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 18 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA 3T’24. PREVIEWS (ANÁLISIS B...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACCIONA, ACCIONA ENERGÍA, ENDESA, GRIFOLS, MERLIN PROPERTIES, ROVI. EUROPA: PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Mercados en fase post-electoral Durante la semana pasada los índices mundiales entraron en la fase post elect...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 14 NOVEMBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREV...

NEWS SUMMARY: FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, IBERDROLA. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. US inflation continues to follow the script European stock markets ended with drops, although the US inflation data helped distance them from daily lows. In the STOXX 600 the best-performing sectors were Energy and Consumer Goo...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 14 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA 3T’24. IDEAS DESTACADAS Y P...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: FERROVIAL, GRIFOLS, IBERDROLA. EUROPA: ASML, DEUTSCHE TELEKOM, PROSUS, SIEMENS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. La inflación estadounidense sigue el camino esperado Las bolsas europeas terminaron con caídas, aunque el dato de i...

Virginia Romero
  • Virginia Romero

GREENING: APOSTANDO POR LA DIVERSIFICACIÓN (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

Apostando por la diversificación. Incrementamos rango de valoración a 6,93 euros/acc. y 9,86 euros/acc. GGR ha batido al sector en Bolsa en 2024 al cumplir guidance en COD&UC y por la estrategia llevada a cabo de diversificación e internacionalización (Norte América y resto de Europa). Actualmente, GGR cuenta con una cartera de 9 GW (268 MW en COD&UC y 783 MW Backlog). Nuestras estimaciones asumen dos escenarios (prudente y base, que implica asumir el 61% del Plan Estratégico) según capacidad CO...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 13 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 3T'24. IDEAS DESTA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ACS, AENA, CAF, GREENING, NEINOR HOMES, SACYR, SECTOR INMOBILIARIO - SOCIMI. EUROPA: ALLIANZ, PROSUS. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Alemania celebrará elecciones en febrero El contagio desde Asia junto con el incremento en...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 13 NOVEMBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREV...

NEWS SUMMARY: ACS, AENA, CAF, GREENING, NEINOR HOMES, REAL ESTATE SECTOR, SACYR. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Germany to hold elections in February The contagion from Asia, along with the increased geopolitical risk, dragged down European stock markets. In the STOXX 600, only Technology ended in gree...

Research Department
  • Research Department

INFORME DIARIO 11 NOVIEMBRE + RDOS. ESPAÑA Y EUROPA 3T’24. IDEAS DESTA...

COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: ALMIRALL, CELLNEX, GRIFOLS, GRUPO SAN JOSE. Incluido en el informe diario de hoy, y durante toda la campaña de resultados, incorporamos al final una presentación con los resultados destacados en positivo y negativo y previews de Rdos. 3T’24 que se publicarán en España y Europa en los próximos días. Trump lleva a los índices americanos a nuevos máximos históricos Semana marcada por las elecciones en EE.UU., las reuniones sin sorpresas de la Fed ...

Research Department
  • Research Department

IBERIAN DAILY 11 NOVEMBER + 3Q’24 RESULTS. HIGHLIGHTS AND REST OF PREV...

NEWS SUMMARY: ALMIRALL, CELLNEX, ELECTRICITY SECTOR, GRIFOLS, GRUPO SANJOSE. At the end of today’s report, and during the entire results season, we will include a presentation with positive and negative results highlights and previews for the 3Q’24 results to be released over the coming days in Spain. Trump leads US indices to all-time highs The week was marked by the US election, the meetings (with no surprises) from the Fed and BoS and Friday’s disappointment due to the lack of fiscal stimul...

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

TMT hybrid yields trended lower/Move up in quality

In this report we evaluate spreads in the TMT hybrids space. Over the year, TMT hybrid notes have performed well. However, we now think the tightening potential over senior notes is more limited. One can move up in quality (or lower duration) without giving up much additional spread.

Luis Arredondo
  • Luis Arredondo

GRIFOLS: 3Q’24 RESULTS (ANÁLISIS BANCO SABADELL)

3Q'24 vs. 3Q'23 Results Sales: € 1.793 Bn (+12.2% vs. +11.8% BS(e) and +10.0% consensus); EBITDA: € 462.0 M (+28.3% vs. +27.2% BS(e) and +28.6% consensus); EBIT: € 317.03 M (+26.6% vs. +33.8% BS(e) and +23.4% consensus); Net Profit: € 52.0 M (-12.3% vs. +13.5% BS(e) and +114.1% consensus); 9M'24 vs. 9M'23 Results Sales: € 5.237 Bn (+8.6% vs. +8.5% BS(e) and +7.9% consensus); EBITDA: € 1.186 Bn (+34.7% vs. +34.3% BS(e) and +34.8% consensus); EBIT: € 820.16 M (+50.7% vs. +54.0% BS(e) and +49.2% co...

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