Eli Lilly and Company: Update to credit analysis following outlook cha...

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its growth portfolio in oncology, neuroscience and immunology, offset by its revenue concentration in diabetes / metabolic conditions.

Thematic - 2026 Outlook - "5 More Years" (55pgs)

For access to the full note, please contact Naresh Chouhan ( ) With EU Pharma (ex-Novo) now having reached decade high valuations vs EuroStoxx600, we believe the sector has broken out & the sustainability of the growth profile will now generate continued strong performance. Consensus 5yr sales & EPS CAGR’s stand at 4% & 7% for 15x 2026 PE. We show there is upside to this from underestimated pipelines where cons. rarely fully models “monster” drugs & from M&A which we expect to be strong at JPM ...

Moody's Ratings affirms Eli Lilly's Aa3 rating; revises outlook to pos...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) affirmed the ratings of Eli Lilly and Company ("Lilly") including the Aa3 senior unsecured notes ratings and long-term issuer rating, the (P)Aa3 senior unsecured shelf and medium term note program ratings, and the Prime-1 short-term commercial paper rating. At the same time...

Novo - Anaemic Growth – PT Cut to DKK230 (SELL, 10pgs)

For access to the full note, please contact Naresh Chouhan ( )

Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy

Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight We had been near-term bullish on the S&P 500 (SPX) since our 4/22/25 Compass, however, we are officially downgrading our near-term outlook to neutral. The SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are breaking below their 50-day MAs and are also violating their multi-month uptrends, signaling a consolidation period is here. With that said, our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish (as of our 5/14/25 Co...

Eli Lilly & Co: 1 director

Two Directors at Eli Lilly & Co sold 306,000 shares at between 1,010.500USD and 1,011.184USD. The significance rating of the trade was 73/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors ove...

Novo - D/G to Sell - Revenue Decline in 2026 (SELL [HOLD], TP DKK270 [...

For access to the full note, please contact Naresh Chouhan ( )

Novo - EVOKE Clouds 18% Sales D/G Risk (HOLD, TP DKK 300, 17pgs)

For access to the full note, please contact Naresh Chouhan ( )

Weekly Points – October 3rd, 2025 5 Things to Know in Investing This W...

Moody's Ratings assigns Aa3 rating to Eli Lilly's notes; stable outloo...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) assigned a Aa3 rating to the new senior unsecured notes offering of Eli Lilly and Company ("Lilly"). There are no changes to Lilly's existing ratings including the Aa3 senior unsecured notes ratings and issuer rating, the (P)Aa3 senior unsecured shelf, the (P)Aa3 senior uns...

InsiderInsights Weekly Report: August 16, 2025

InsiderInsights Ratings of Companies with Open-Market Form 4 Purchases; Sales Filed at the SEC on the date above. We separate the real investment intelligence from the noise. Saving you time, and improving your research process

InsiderInsights.com Daily Ratings Report: August 15, 2025

InsiderInsights Ratings of Companies with Open-Market Form 4 Purchases; Sales Filed at the SEC on the date above. We separate the real investment intelligence from the noise. Saving you time, and improving your research process

InsiderInsights.com Daily Ratings Report: August 14, 2025

InsiderInsights Ratings of Companies with Open-Market Form 4 Purchases; Sales Filed at the SEC on the date above. We separate the real investment intelligence from the noise. Saving you time, and improving your research process

InsiderInsights.com Daily Ratings Report: August 13, 2025

InsiderInsights Ratings of Companies with Open-Market Form 4 Purchases; Sales Filed at the SEC on the date above. We separate the real investment intelligence from the noise. Saving you time, and improving your research process

InsiderInsights.com Daily Ratings Report: August 12, 2025

InsiderInsights Ratings of Companies with Open-Market Form 4 Purchases; Sales Filed at the SEC on the date above. We separate the real investment intelligence from the noise. Saving you time, and improving your research process

InsiderInsights Weekly Report: August 9, 2025

InsiderInsights Ratings of Companies with Open-Market Form 4 Purchases; Sales Filed at the SEC on the date above. We separate the real investment intelligence from the noise. Saving you time, and improving your research process

InsiderInsights.com Daily Ratings Report: August 8, 2025

InsiderInsights Ratings of Companies with Open-Market Form 4 Purchases; Sales Filed at the SEC on the date above. We separate the real investment intelligence from the noise. Saving you time, and improving your research process

Novo - Upgrade to HOLD (PT DKK300, 8pgs)

With the orfo’ data being on the lower side of expectations, we upgrade to Hold as the narrative is likely to be dominated by the potential upside for Novo. However, we remain convinced that: 1) The obesity market is nowhere near as big as the market believes, 2) Ozempic no’s are far too high & 3) Margin forecasts need to fall. Cons’ Ozempic forecasts will take time to fall & we will likely need the IRA price in November to force consensus lower. Therefore, we see limited S-T downside to our DKK...

Novo - Oversize Downgrade - PT Cut to DKK300 (SELL, TP DKK300 [350], 8...

Whilst our downgrade to Sell [here] was predicated on reduced Ozempic sales & significantly below cons. forecasts, the magnitude of the ’25 profit warning has led to a material reset of our forecasts & we are now >30% below cons. EBIT in 2029. We expect the debate to now focus on valuation given we model just 5% 25-30 CAGR sales growth & sema accounts for 60% of 2030 EBIT. Worryingly, our EPS declines in 2027 having cut our sales forecasts by 4-9% & EBIT forecasts by 6%-13%. We are now 27% below...

Novo - Mounjaro Efficacy Slowing GLP-1 Growth (SELL, TP DKK350, 11pgs)

With US GLP-1 volume growth in diabetes stalling to just 5%, we examine the evidence that Mounjaro’s high efficacy has resulted in a surge of patients getting to HbA1c goal & discontinuing treatment. We analyse the literature & clinical data that shows that GLP-1 market growth could slow dramatically for years to come given Mounjaro is now half the US GLP-1 volume in diabetics. We expect Mounjaro’s NBRx share to be >70% by end 2026, likely resulting in further downgrades to Ozempic consensus. Ba...