Recent industry data points to an overall benign sector outlook, with LPI of 52.4 in Sep 24, indicating expanding logistics activities. The logistics sector could benefit if China successfully fosters a domestic consumption-driven growth. The collaboration between JDL and Alibaba may reshape the premium e-commerce logistics landscape, significantly benefitting JDL. We upgrade the sector to OVERWEIGHT, with JDL (BUY/Target: HK$18.72) being our top pick. Downgrade SF to HOLD (Target: Rmb46.00).
SF’s 1H24 net profit of Rmb4.81b (+15.1% yoy) was a slight beat, at 53.6% of our full-year forecast. Group revenue rose 8.1%, backed by a 6.5% yoy parcel volume growth for its domestic express & logistics business and yoy higher ocean and air freight rates for its international business. Gross profit margin rose 0.34ppt yoy driven by better cost efficency. Management has an upbeat tone in its outlook guidance. SF’s 2024 earnings is set to hit a new record high. Maintain BUY. Target price: Rmb46....
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$16.46/Target: HK$19.50) Anhui Conch reported 1H24 earnings of Rmb3,325.6m (-48.6% yoy), representing 29% of our full-year estimate and below expectations. Gross margin for self-produced products fell to 23.0% (-4.6ppt yoy). The slump in cement ASP of 21.6% was steeper than the 16.0% reduction in cement’s unit production cost. 1H24 cement and clinker sales volume declined to 126m tonnes (-3.4% yoy), and management expects 2024 demand to...
GREATER CHINA Results Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$16.46/Target: HK$19.50) 1H24: Below expectations; exploring opportunities in overseas markets. CR Mixc (1209 HK/BUY/HK$23.25/Target: HK$33.70) 1H24: Results in line with surprise from special dividend. Haidilao International Holding (6862 HK/BUY/HK$12.34/Target: HK$19.60) 1H24: Core net profit up 13% yoy. Accelerated store opening pace in 2H24; dividend payout expected to remain at reasonable leve...
SF’s 1Q24 net profit of Rmb1.91b (+11.1% yoy) is in line with our expecation, at 21.3% of our full-year forecast. Group revenue rose 7.0%, backed by a 3.1% yoy parcel volume growth for its express & logistics business and yoy higher ocean and air freight rates for its international freight forwarding business. SF announced a second tranche of its share purchase programme. We are sanguine about SF’s outlook, forecasting a recordhigh level of earnings for 2024. Maintain BUY. Target price: Rmb46.00...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI Manufacturing PMI came in better than expected at 50.4% (-0.4ppt) and stayed in the expansionary zone for the second month. It was mainly supported by production and new orders as employment remained a drag, dropping 0.1ppt to 48.0%. Non-manufacturing hit a three-month low of 51.2%, dragged by moderation in new orders and business expectations. We expect policy support to continue and the July Politburo may see new measures being rolled out. Sector Aviation T...
GREATER CHINA Sector Macau Gaming Apr 24 GGR down 5% mom; downgrade to MARKET WEIGHT. Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$5.10/Target: HK$6.00) 1Q24: Results in line with better NIM performance. LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH/SELL/Rmb18.20/Target: Rmb14.38) 2023/1Q24: Below expectations; inventory write-down wipes out earnings. Downgrade to SELL. PICC Property and Casualty (2328 HK/BUY/HK$9.71/Target: HK$11.70) 1Q24: Earnings miss on higher COR and lower investment income...
SF’s 2023 net profit of Rmb8.23b (+33.4% yoy) was in line with our expecation, at 100% of our forecast. Except for the international freight forwarding business whose revenue performance was affected by freight rate fluctuations, SF has achieved broad-based revenue growth across its core business lines. Management remains optimistic about SF’s outlook, guiding for steady revenue growth and stable PATMI margins in 2024. We maintain BUY on SF with an unchanged target price of Rmb46.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anta (2020 HK/BUY/HK$83.55/Target: HK$109.60) 2023: Results beat on margin; on track to fulfil three-year targets. China Overseas Property Holdings (2669 HK/BUY/HK$4.50/Target: HK$5.60) 2023: Weaker-than-expected results; development targets revised. CR Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$24.85/Target: HK$42.39) 2023: Results in line; clearer growth path ahead. CR Mixc (1209 HK/BUY/HK$23.60/Target: HK$33.20) 2023: Results beat with higher payout ratio; pursue high-quality grow...
GREATER CHINA Results Anta (2020 HK/BUY/HK$83.55/Target: HK$109.60): 2023: Results beat on margin; on track to fulfil three-year targets. CR Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$24.85/Target: HK$42.39): 2023: Results in line; clearer growth path ahead. CR Mixc (1209 HK/BUY/HK$23.60/Target: HK$33.20): 2023: Results beat with higher payout ratio; pursue high-quality growth. Nexteer Automotive Group (1316 HK/SELL/HK$3.24/Target: HK$2.20): 2023: Earnings miss estimate again on margin squeeze. Maintain SELL. Cut tar...
SF is China’s largest and the world’s fourth-largest integrated logistics company by revenue. With market-leading positions in several key logistics sub-segments, SF is well-positioned to capture China’s growing logistics demand and its international expansion is also set to accelerate in the medium term, capitalising on favourable trends of Chinese enterprises going overseas, supply chain relocation and growing cross-border e-commerce. Initiate coverage with BUY. Target price: Rmb46.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Eyeing near-term catalysts for humanoid robot plays. Initiate Coverage SF Holding (002352 CH/BUY/Rmb38.05/Target: Rmb46.00) China’s leading integrated logistics player; riding China’s growing domestic logistics demand while international expansion, its second growth curve, is also taking shape. TRADERS’ CORNER CK Asset Holdings Limited (1113 HK): Trading Buy range: HK$36.00-36.75 Skyworth Group Limited (751 HK): Trading Buy range: HK$2.80-2.89
REGIONAL Sector Plantation: We cherry-pick efficient companies with good production growth to leverage good CPO prices to mitigate any unforeseen CPO price volatility. GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly: Eyeing near-term catalysts for humanoid robot plays. Initiate Coverage SF Holding (002352 CH/BUY/Rmb38.05/Target: Rmb46.00): China’s leading integrated logistics player; riding China’s growing domestic logistics demand while international expansion, its second growth curve, is also ta...
SF is China’s largest and the world’s fourth-largest integrated logistics company by revenue. With market-leading positions in several key logistics sub-segments, SF is well-positioned to capture China’s growing logistics demand and its international expansion is also set to accelerate in the medium term, capitalising on favourable trends of Chinese enterprises going overseas, supply chain relocation and growing cross-border e-commerce. Initiate coverage with BUY. Target price: Rmb46.00. Chin...
A director at S.F. Holding Co Ltd sold 2,760,000 shares at 43.480CNY and the significance rating of the trade was 69/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...
Full Article at IIR has reaffirmed its Recommended rating for PIA after undertaking a review post the appointment of a new Portfolio Manager, Harding Loevner. The full report can be found on the IIR website. On 26 July 2021, Pengana International Equities Limited (PIA) announced a fully franked dividend of 1.35 cents per share for the June quarter. This represents an 8% increase on the March quarter dividend and takes the total dividends declared for FY21 of 5.1 cents per share, fully franked....
SF Real Estate Investment Trust (SFREIT), a logistics-focused REIT, aims to raise around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO. SF REIT is sponsored by SF Holdings, listed in Shenzhen. At the time of listing, SFREIT will own three properties located in Hong Kong, Foshan and Wuhu, all of which are modern logistics properties. The assets have an aggregated gross lettable area of approximately 307,617.5 sqm with an appraised value of HK$6.1bn, as at Mar 2021. The average occupancy of the properties was 95....
SF Real Estate Investment Trust (SFREIT), a logistics-focused REIT, aims to raise around US$300m in its Hong Kong IPO. SF REIT is sponsored by SF Holdings, listed in Shenzhen. At the time of listing, SFREIT will own three properties located in Hong Kong, Foshan and Wuhu, all of which are modern logistics properties. The assets have an aggregated gross lettable area of approximately 307,617.5 sqm with an appraised value of HK$6.1bn, as at Mar 2021. The average occupancy of the properties was 95....
Major Indexes Testing Resistance Positive news flow surrounding COVID-19 is encouraging on many fronts, notably from a human and economic perspective (e.g., peaking infections/deaths in Italy & Spain, certain European governments making plans to ease lockdowns, and that US death projections were likely overestimated). Still, despite encouraging news and the relief rally in global equities, history tells us that this is a fairly standard bear market rally in terms of its magnitude, making us bel...
EM Outperforming; Favor EM over EAFE With many global markets crumbling last week, one might assume that EM would have underperformed -- but that is not what transpired. What we saw was a decline in the US dollar which, along with improving coronavirus metrics in China, led to EM outperformance. Reiterating our 12/20/19 EM Strategy, we continue to believe EM is a better place to be than EAFE, supported by new highs in the EM vs. EAFE ratio and our ongoing belief that the US dollar is likely not...
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