reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Downgrading Health Care to Underweight Our outlook remains bullish following the S&P 500's multi-month base breakout above 5670-5783, alongside constructive market dynamics. The path of least resistance is higher. We have discussed for the past two+ weeks how we would treat any pre-election pullback as a buying opportunity, and we are finally getting a pullback. We expect to see support on the SPX at 5655-5670, and we will remain bullish as long as 5655 support holds. Downgrading Health Care t...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Considering constructive market dynamics and the recent SPX breakout above 5783 following several months of consolidation, we are upgrading our outlook to bullish. Since late-July, our outlook has been neutral on the S&P 500 (SPX), preferring to buy near 5100-5200 support and sell near 5670-5783 resistance until there is a break in either direction. The market is breaking to new highs, hence our upgrade. We would treat any pre-election pullback as a buying opportunity, as long as the SPX holds a...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Upgrading Real Estate, Staples, and Health Care The S&P 500 (SPX) is back to test YTD highs and important resistance in the 5670-5783 range. This is an important target/resistance area we have discussed for over a month; using the 2007 SPX topping analog which has tracked the current market almost perfectly, it would suggest a 2% or less move above the prior all-time high set in July at 5670 before topping, which is where we get the 5783 number. As long as the SPX does not have a weekly close a...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
RYT INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT TECHNOLOGY ETF
XLB. ISHARES CORE CANADIAN LONG TER
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Market Dynamics Improving; Downgrading Utilities Market dynamics and price action across the major indexes and all Sectors has been positive since early November -- and they have only improved recently. As a result, we remain bullish and recommend adding exposure on pullbacks. Below we highlight recent improvements. · Market Dynamics Improving: Commodities, 10-Year Treasury Yield. Broad commodities (DJP) are breaking above the 12.5-year downtrend, likely starting a new secular bull mar...
IBUY AMPLIFY ONLN ETF
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
SOXX ISHARES PHLX SEMICONDUCTOR ETF
XSW SPDR S&P SOFTWARE AND SERVICES FUND
RCD INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY ETF
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
RYT INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT TECHNOLOGY ETF
XSD SPDR S&P SEMICONDUCTOR ETF
RYF INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT FINANCIALS ETF
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Bullish Outlook Warranted; Offensive Sector Shift In our 5/18/20 ETF Pathfinder we saw the S&P 500 as consolidating and, until there was a resolution below support or above resistance, our outlook was neutral. By the end of that week, the S&P 500 had sustained a break above 2,935-2,955 resistance which set the stage for a new leg higher. Despite being short-term extended, the combination of rotations into cyclical Sectors, bottoming interest rates, narrowing high yield spreads, small- and mid-c...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
Healthy Sector Rotations Continue Note: We have resumed production of the Russell 1000 & 2000 grids, which you can find at the end of the attached Compass PDF. The rotation out of stay-at-home/COVID-19 beneficiary stocks and into reopening/economically sensitive stocks that we highlighted last week has continued, leading us to make several upgrades and one downgrade (see first bullet below). This broadening-out of participation and several other bullish developments highlighted below tells us th...
XPO XPO LOGISTICS INC.
PRTS US AUTO PARTS NETWORK INC
MNRO MONRO INC
LKQ LKQ CORPORATION
GPC GENUINE PARTS COMPANY
FDX FEDEX CORPORATION
EXPD EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON INC.
BECN BEACON ROOFING SUPPLY INC.
AZO AUTOZONE INC.
AAP ADVANCE AUTO PARTS INC.
PATK PATRICK INDUSTRIES INC.
MAS MASCO CORPORATION
DOOR MASONITE INTERNATIONAL CORP.
AMWD AMERICAN WOODMARK CORPORATION
BLD TOPBUILD CORP.
BLDR BUILDERS FIRSTSOURCE INC.
GMS GMS INC.
IBP INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS INC.
LSTR LANDSTAR SYSTEM INC.
ODFL OLD DOMINION FREIGHT LINE INC.
SSD SIMPSON MANUFACTURING CO. INC.
TREX TREX COMPANY INC.
CHRW C.H. ROBINSON WORLDWIDE INC.
AFI ARMSTRONG FLOORING INC.
JBHT J.B. HUNT TRANSPORT SERVICES INC.
ORLY O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE INC.
OSB. NORBORD INC.
ZTO ZTO EXPRESS (CAYMAN) INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
JELD JELD-WEN HOLDING INC.
KNX KNIGHT-SWIFT TRANSPORTATION HOLDINGS INC. CLASS A
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
UFPI UFP INDUSTRIES
INC.
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
S&P 500 Consolidating, Still In “Wait-And-See†Phase The S&P 500 is moving in a sideways range while the market digests the implications of states' re-opening. Until this consolidation period resolves below support or above resistance we are maintaining a relatively neutral stance considering the wide range of outcomes. A break below support would confirm this as a distribution phase, while a break above resistance would confirm this period as being a digestion phase. · Key Levels...
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Constructive Pullback Coronavirus concerns are hitting stocks due to prospects of lower economic growth. A question we ask ourselves is whether the worst of the declines are behind us and that the pullback is likely to be a buying opportunity, or is this the beginning of a much larger correction? We lean towards the former, and believe this to be a healthy and constructive pullback of the 5-7% variety in the S&P 500 (peak-to-trough is currently -3.7%). We explain our thought process below. •...
HYG ISHARES IBOXX $ HIGH YIELD CORPORATE BOND ETF
EWW ISHARES MSCI MEXICO CAPPED ETF
IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX FUND
IYT ISHARES TRANSPORTATION AVERAGE
EWL ISHARES MSCI SWITZERLAND CAPPE
EIRL ISHARES MSCI IRELAND CAPPED ET
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
IAI ISHARES U.S. BROKER-DEALERSETF
A2AMMR PUREFUNDS ISE MOBILE PAYMENTS ETF
IGV ISHARES NORTH AMERICAN TECH-SOFTWARE ETF
DBO INVESCO DB OIL FUND
ITB ISHARES U.S. HOME CONSTRUCTION
KBE SPDR KBW BANK ETF
CPER UNITED STATES COPPER INDEX FUND
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
JNK SPDR BARCLAYS HIGH YIELD BOND ETF
RTM INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT MATERIALS ETF
EUFN ISHARES MSCI EUROPE FINANCIALS
RYE INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT ENERGY ETF
RSXJ MARKET VECTORS RUSSIA SMALL-CAP ETF
RGI INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT INDUSTRIALS ETF
ACWI ISHARES MSCI ACWI ETF
EWZS. ISHARES MSCI BZL
IWR ISHARES RUSSELL MID-CAP ETF
A1W8E4 ISHARES MSCI DENMARK CAPPED INVESTABLE MKT INDX FD
A118W4 ISHARES MSCI EUROPE MINIMUM VOLATILITY ETF
RSX.. VANECK VECTORS RUSSIA ETF
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Add Exposure to Small-Caps; Upgrading Health Care Bullish price and RS inflections for small-caps (IWM) is the latest positive development underpinning our belief that we are in the early stages of a broad-based market advance. • Small-Caps. The Russell 2000 (IWM) is decisively breaking topside $160 resistance and is making the long-awaited bullish RS reversal -- add exposure. Bullish price and RS inflections for small-caps helped ignite the broad market rally that began in early 2016, and w...
EEM ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX FUND
EWL ISHARES MSCI SWITZERLAND CAPPE
EIRL ISHARES MSCI IRELAND CAPPED ET
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
SLX. MARKET VECTORS STEEL INDEX FUND
ERUS BLACKROCK INSTITUTIONAL TRUST COMPANY N.A.
XME SPDR S&P METALS & MINING ETF
A2AMMR PUREFUNDS ISE MOBILE PAYMENTS ETF
IGV ISHARES NORTH AMERICAN TECH-SOFTWARE ETF
IEO ISHARES U.S. OIL & GAS EXPLORA
XPH SPDR S&P PHARMACEUTICALS ETF
RHS INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT CONSUMER STAPLES ETF
RCD INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY ETF
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
RYH INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT HEALTH CARE ETF
RTM INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT MATERIALS ETF
RYE INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT ENERGY ETF
TAN INVESCO SOLAR ETF
RGI INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT INDUSTRIALS ETF
DXGE WISDOMTREE GERMANY HEDGED EQUITY FUND
PSCH INVESCO S&P SMALLCAP HEALTH CARE ETF
EWUS ISHARES MSCI UNITED KINGDOM SMALL CAP INDEX FUND
KWEB KRANESHARES CSI CHINA INTERNET FUND
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Upgrading Industrials, Downgrading Defensives The current market scenario is not what we would consider “perfect†for a bull market, but it certainly has most of the necessary ingredients. Therefore, we continue to believe we are in the early stages of a broad-based advance. • Upgrading Industrials, Downgrading Defensives. Cyclical Sectors continue to show price and RS improvement while Defensive Sectors deteriorate, a favorable backdrop for a bull market. We are upgrading Industrials (X...
XLB MATERIALS SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
EEM ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
EWC ISHARES MSCI CANADA ETF
IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX FUND
EWL ISHARES MSCI SWITZERLAND CAPPE
EWY ISHARES MSCI SOUTH KOREA CAPPED INDEX FUND
EWN ISHARES MSCI NETHERLANDS ETF
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
IHI ISHARES U.S. MEDICAL DEVICES E
XTN SPDR S&P TRANSPORTATION ETF
EFA ISHARES TRUST MSCI EAFE INDEX FUND
KRE. SPDR KBW REGIONAL BANKING ETF
EWJ ISHARES MSCI JAPAN ETF
KBE SPDR KBW BANK ETF
PGAL GLOBAL X FTSE PORTUGAL 20 ETF
RHS INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT CONSUMER STAPLES ETF
RCD INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY ETF
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
RYH INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT HEALTH CARE ETF
RTM INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT MATERIALS ETF
RYE INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT ENERGY ETF
RGI INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT INDUSTRIALS ETF
EWT ISHARES MSCI TAIWAN ETF
COPX GLOBAL X COPPER MINERS ETF
EUSC WDMTR ERP HDG EQ
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Bullish Developments Continue; Downgrading Communications Bullish developments continue to flood the market, leading us to believe we may be in the early stages of a broad-based advance. • Bullish Arguments Flooding the Market. Major global and US indexes (SPY, RSP, QQQ, EEM, EFA, EUFN, ACWI, Europe, Japan, etc.) are making bullish inflections. Serial laggards such as retail (XRT) and biotech (IBB, XBI) appear to be bottoming. Cyclical Sectors are breaking topside resistance (e.g., XLK, XLF,...
EEM ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
IBB ISHARES NASDAQ BIOTECHNOLOGY ETF
IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX FUND
EWL ISHARES MSCI SWITZERLAND CAPPE
EWO ISHARES MSCI AUSTRIA CAPPED ET
EWY ISHARES MSCI SOUTH KOREA CAPPED INDEX FUND
EWN ISHARES MSCI NETHERLANDS ETF
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
ERUS BLACKROCK INSTITUTIONAL TRUST COMPANY N.A.
XTN SPDR S&P TRANSPORTATION ETF
XME SPDR S&P METALS & MINING ETF
XBI SPDR S&P BIOTECH ETF
SPY SPDR S&P 500 ETF
EFA ISHARES TRUST MSCI EAFE INDEX FUND
KBE SPDR KBW BANK ETF
PGAL GLOBAL X FTSE PORTUGAL 20 ETF
XPH SPDR S&P PHARMACEUTICALS ETF
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
RYH INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT HEALTH CARE ETF
RTM INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT MATERIALS ETF
XSD SPDR S&P SEMICONDUCTOR ETF
RYF INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT FINANCIALS ETF
DXGE WISDOMTREE GERMANY HEDGED EQUITY FUND
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Add Exposure to Emerging Markets, Retail Several recent positive developments are encouraging and incrementally improve our outlook, however there are several other items on our bull market wish list that have yet to be checked off. Our outlook remains neutral. • EM, Retail Bottoming. Bullish price and RS reversals in EM (EEM) is a very positive signal for the broad market as it indicates improving risk appetites. After all, it is one of the riskiest asset classes. Bottoming price and RS in ...
EEM ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
EWG ISHARES MSCI GERMANY ETF
EWN ISHARES MSCI NETHERLANDS ETF
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
ERUS BLACKROCK INSTITUTIONAL TRUST COMPANY N.A.
EFA ISHARES TRUST MSCI EAFE INDEX FUND
EWJ ISHARES MSCI JAPAN ETF
XRT SPDR S&P RETAIL ETF
RTH MARKET VECTORS RETAIL ETF
PJP INVESCO DYNAMIC PHARMACEUTICALS ETF
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
RYT INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT TECHNOLOGY ETF
RYH INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT HEALTH CARE ETF
RTM INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT MATERIALS ETF
EUFN ISHARES MSCI EUROPE FINANCIALS
RYF INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT FINANCIALS ETF
EWT ISHARES MSCI TAIWAN ETF
EWGS ISHARES MSCI GERMANY SMALL-CAP
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Hanging in the balance Last week's worse-than-expected economic data further spooked investors and reignited global growth concerns. Despite the many potential risks that we can point to for this market and the economy, thus far we are not seeing any technical breakdowns, and until we do, our neutral outlook remains appropriate. • Cyclicals not breaking down. Key cyclical/risk-on areas of the market such as small-caps (IWM), banks (KBE), and transports (IYT) are not breaking down. As long as...
HYG ISHARES IBOXX $ HIGH YIELD CORPORATE BOND ETF
EEM ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
EWW ISHARES MSCI MEXICO CAPPED ETF
IWM ISHARES RUSSELL 2000 INDEX FUND
IYT ISHARES TRANSPORTATION AVERAGE
ITA ISHARES U.S. AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
SOXX ISHARES PHLX SEMICONDUCTOR ETF
EFA ISHARES TRUST MSCI EAFE INDEX FUND
IGV ISHARES NORTH AMERICAN TECH-SOFTWARE ETF
CRAK VANECK VECTORS OIL REFINERS ETF
EWJ ISHARES MSCI JAPAN ETF
KBE SPDR KBW BANK ETF
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
JNK SPDR BARCLAYS HIGH YIELD BOND ETF
RYH INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT HEALTH CARE ETF
RTM INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT MATERIALS ETF
RYF INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT FINANCIALS ETF
EWZS. ISHARES MSCI BZL
EWT ISHARES MSCI TAIWAN ETF
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Upgrading Energy to Market Weight Better economic data and optimism surrounding US-China trade (notwithstanding last Friday) has put a floor under Treasury yields and has led investors to take profits from large-caps, growth, and defensive areas of the market and migrate to small-caps, value, and cyclical segments of the market. While this shift has been a welcomed sight for the prospects of a broad-based move higher, several key risk-on areas of the market have thus far failed to break above r...
EEM ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
EWC ISHARES MSCI CANADA ETF
EWW ISHARES MSCI MEXICO CAPPED ETF
EWN ISHARES MSCI NETHERLANDS ETF
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
EFA ISHARES TRUST MSCI EAFE INDEX FUND
XAR SPDR S&P AEROSPACE AND DEFENSE FUND
IEO ISHARES U.S. OIL & GAS EXPLORA
EWJ ISHARES MSCI JAPAN ETF
PJP INVESCO DYNAMIC PHARMACEUTICALS ETF
VWO VANGUARD FTSE EMERGING MARKETS
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
SIL GLOBAL X SILVER MINERS ETF
RYT INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT TECHNOLOGY ETF
RYH INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT HEALTH CARE ETF
RTM INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT MATERIALS ETF
RYF INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT FINANCIALS ETF
EWZS. ISHARES MSCI BZL
EWT ISHARES MSCI TAIWAN ETF
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Compass: Weekly Equity Strategy
The good outweighs the bad Our checklist of bullish indicators continues to grow as equal-weighted Financials (RYF), global Financials (IXG), global autos (CARZ), and the Dow Jones Transportation Average (IYT) are each decisively breaking topside critical resistance levels. These developments have led us to be incrementally more bullish. At the same time, biotech has succumbed to weakness within Health Care -- a point for the bears as it is one aspect that puts a damper on risk sentiment. Overa...
STT STATE STREET CORPORATION
KMX CARMAX INC.
NCR NCR CORPORATION
UNH UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCORPORATED
SEIC SEI INVESTMENTS COMPANY
LEA LEAR CORPORATION
LAD LITHIA MOTORS INC. CLASS A
IVZ INVESCO LTD.
GPI GROUP 1 AUTOMOTIVE INC.
FIS FIDELITY NATIONAL INFORMATION SERVICES INC.
ETN EATON CORP. PLC
CRMT AMERICA'S CAR-MART INC.
BWA BORGWARNER INC.
ARCC ARES CAPITAL CORPORATION
AN AUTONATION INC.
AMP AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC.
AMG AFFILIATED MANAGERS GROUP INC.
ALV AUTOLIV INC.
AG31 APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT INC. CLASS A
MG/CN MAGNA INTERNATIONAL INC.
BX BLACKSTONE GROUP INC.
FHI FEDERATED HERMES INC. CLASS B
LM LEGG MASON INC.
LPLA LPL FINANCIAL HOLDINGS INC.
GDX VANECK VECTORS GOLD MINERS ETF
TROW T. ROWE PRICE GROUP
WPC W. P. CAREY INC.
TYIA JOHNSON CONTROLS INTERNATIONAL PLC
JHG JANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLC
APTV APTIV PLC
CARZ FIRST TRUST NASDAQ GLOBAL AUTO INDEX FUND
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
ADNT ADIENT PLC
IHF ISHARES U.S. HEALTHCARE PROVID
A2AHFT MARKET VECTORS JUNIOR GOLD MINERS ETF
RYH INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT HEALTH CARE ETF
RYF INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT FINANCIALS ETF
IXG ISHARES GLOBAL FINANCIALS ETF
STTX STRATEX OIL & GAS HOLDINGS
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Downgrading defensive sectors: Staples, Utilities, and Real Estate We continue to grapple with the possibility that the Christmas Eve low was “the low,†while also considering the potential that the current oversold bounce may be a bear market rally - and that the potential for a retest of the December lows could be around the corner. Short-term market/technical developments and other observations below lead us to believe that a more constructive overall outlook on the broad market is warra...
GLD SPDR GOLD TRUST
XLB MATERIALS SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
HYG ISHARES IBOXX $ HIGH YIELD CORPORATE BOND ETF
EEM ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
ITA ISHARES U.S. AEROSPACE & DEFENSE ETF
MCHI.. ISHARES MSCI CHN
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
EZA ISHARES MSCI SOUTH AFRICA ETF
IAI ISHARES U.S. BROKER-DEALERSETF
SOXX ISHARES PHLX SEMICONDUCTOR ETF
EFA ISHARES TRUST MSCI EAFE INDEX FUND
EWM ISHARES MSCI MALAYSIA ETF
EPU ISHARES MSCI ALL PERU CAPPED E
KRE. SPDR KBW REGIONAL BANKING ETF
EPOL ISHARES MSCI POLAND CAPPED ETF
IJR ISHARES S&P SMALL-CAP ETF
IVV ISHARES S&P 500 ETF
VEA VANGUARD FTSE DEVELOPED MARKETS ETF
VWO VANGUARD FTSE EMERGING MARKETS
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
UUP INVESCO DB US DOLLAR INDEX BULLISH FUND
JNK SPDR BARCLAYS HIGH YIELD BOND ETF
EPHE ISHARES MSCI PHILIPPINES INVESTABLE MARKET INDEX ETF
A1138P ISHARES MSCI COLOMBIA CAPPED ETF
VUG VANGUARD GROWTH ETF
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Upgrading Real Estate and Utilities to overweight The S&P 500 peaked near 2,817 resistance following the Trump-Xi meeting at the G20 summit, and is now hovering near the critical 2,600 support level. Our baseline expectation is for continued consolidation between these support and resistance levels. The ultimate breakout or breakdown will be key in determining where the market goes longer term. Meanwhile, barring meaningful clarity on the U.S.-China trade front or Fed policy, the market remains...
XLB MATERIALS SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
EEM ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
PPH VANECK VECTORS PHARMACEUTICAL
IAU ISHARES COMEX GOLD TRUST
MCHI.. ISHARES MSCI CHN
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
EFA ISHARES TRUST MSCI EAFE INDEX FUND
IHF ISHARES U.S. HEALTHCARE PROVID
A115LY ISHARES MSCI QATAR CAPPED ETF
KBE SPDR KBW BANK ETF
VEA VANGUARD FTSE DEVELOPED MARKETS ETF
VWO VANGUARD FTSE EMERGING MARKETS
XHS SPDR S&P HEALTH CARE SERVICES FUND
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
UUP INVESCO DB US DOLLAR INDEX BULLISH FUND
EIDO ISHARES MSCI INDONESIA ETF
TUR ISHARES MSCI TURKEY ETF
REZ ISHARES RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTAT
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Recent comments from Fed Chair Powell and the U.S.-China 90-day ceasefire agreement have drastically diminished (for now) concerns over two major sources of investor angst: (1) the pace of Fed tightenings and (2) trade policy. The S&P 500 is poised to open trading today near 2,817 resistance, a key level we are monitoring. The impending breakout - or breakdown below ~2,600 support, if resistance holds - will be key in determining where the market goes next. • Market internals improving. Key i...
JNJ JOHNSON & JOHNSON
XLB MATERIALS SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
EEM ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
PPH VANECK VECTORS PHARMACEUTICAL
MCHI.. ISHARES MSCI CHN
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
EFA ISHARES TRUST MSCI EAFE INDEX FUND
A115LY ISHARES MSCI QATAR CAPPED ETF
VEA VANGUARD FTSE DEVELOPED MARKETS ETF
VWO VANGUARD FTSE EMERGING MARKETS
EIS ISHARES MSCI ISRAEL CAPPED ETF
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
A1XFFG FIDELITY MSCI TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES INDEX ETF
TUR ISHARES MSCI TURKEY ETF
REZ ISHARES RESIDENTIAL REAL ESTAT
USMV ISHARES MSCI USA MINIMUM VOLATILITY INDEX FUND
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas
Cautious outlook intact We continue expect additional consolidation, volatility, and potentially lower prices as the market attempts to stabilize. Important levels we are monitoring on the S&P 500 include support near 2,600 and resistance near 2,817 - which currently coincides with both the 100-day and 50-day moving averages. • Big picture trends. The growth (IUSG) vs. value (IUSV) uptrend is breaking down in favor of value -- shift exposure from growth to value. The large-cap (IVV) vs. smal...
XLB MATERIALS SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
EEM ISHARES MSCI EMERGING MARKETS ETF
IBB ISHARES NASDAQ BIOTECHNOLOGY ETF
EWZ ISHARES MSCI BRAZIL CAPPED INDEX FUND
IAU ISHARES COMEX GOLD TRUST
XLV SELECT SECTOR SPDR-HEALTH CARE
XLP SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER STAPLES
XLY SELECT SECTOR SPDR-CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
XLE SELECT SECTOR SPDR-ENERGY
XLF SELECT SECTOR SPDR-FINANCIAL
XLI SELECT SECTOR SPDR-INDUSTRIAL
XLK SELECT SECTOR SPDR-TECHNOLOGY
XLRE REAL ESTATE SPDR
XLU SELECT SECTOR SPDR-UTILITIES
EFA ISHARES TRUST MSCI EAFE INDEX FUND
BNO US BRENT OIL FUND LP
IHF ISHARES U.S. HEALTHCARE PROVID
DBO INVESCO DB OIL FUND
A115LY ISHARES MSCI QATAR CAPPED ETF
IJR ISHARES S&P SMALL-CAP ETF
IVV ISHARES S&P 500 ETF
IUSV ISHARES CORE RUSSELL U.S. VALU
IUSG ISHARES CORE RUSSELL U.S. GROW
VWO VANGUARD FTSE EMERGING MARKETS
RHS INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT CONSUMER STAPLES ETF
RCD INVESCO S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY ETF
EIS ISHARES MSCI ISRAEL CAPPED ETF
XHS SPDR S&P HEALTH CARE SERVICES FUND
XLC THE COMMUNICATION SERVICES SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND
UUP INVESCO DB US DOLLAR INDEX BULLISH FUND
A1XFFG FIDELITY MSCI TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES INDEX ETF
EIDO ISHARES MSCI INDONESIA ETF
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