Growth Leading This EOY Rally; Expect More Upside Our outlook remains bullish and we see the market in the midst of a significant end-of-year rally that we have been expecting since mid-October. We continue to expect support at the 20-day MAs on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), while support at current levels or the 50-day MA is likely on the Russell 2000 (IWM). Ultimately, we will remain bullish as long as the S&P 500 is above 5850. Market dynamics continue to improve, giving us confidence th...
Favor Defensives as S&P 500 Tests 4165-4200 The S&P 500 is approaching the 4165-4200 area; we continue to believe this will cap upside in 2023, but we also acknowledge that a move to 4300-4325 is possible... see chart below. Considering limited upside in both scenarios, we continue to recommend shifting to defensives, particularly Health Care (XLV), Utilities (RYU, XLU), Consumer Staples (XLP), and precious metals miners (GDX). Index Overview. Downside targets for the S&P 500 continue to be at...
Headwinds Persist In last week's Compass (Aug. 23) we discussed the increasing odds for a deeper pullback in the broad market indexes due to 5-week uptrend breaks on the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000, the Fed tightening, and with Treasury yields, the U.S. dollar (DXY), and commodities (DJP) inflecting higher. We continue to see the market as being in pullback mode; the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Russell 2000 are all approaching 50-day MA support, the first big area of interest on this pul...
The independent financial analyst theScreener just lowered the general evaluation of CASEY'S GENERAL STORES (US), active in the Food Retailers & Wholesalers industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title now shows 0 out of 4 stars while market behaviour can be considered moderately risky. theScreener believes that the title remains under pressure due to the loss of a star(s) and downgrades its general evaluation to Slightly Negative. As of the analysis date December 10, 2021, the clos...
Full Article at IIR has reaffirmed its Recommended rating for PIA after undertaking a review post the appointment of a new Portfolio Manager, Harding Loevner. The full report can be found on the IIR website. On 26 July 2021, Pengana International Equities Limited (PIA) announced a fully franked dividend of 1.35 cents per share for the June quarter. This represents an 8% increase on the March quarter dividend and takes the total dividends declared for FY21 of 5.1 cents per share, fully franked....
Current market expectations for CVS are excessively pessimistic. Markets expect UAFRS-based ROA (Uniform ROA or ROA') to roll over to prior lows from 2010-2011. However, the company's fundamental strategy is likely to lead to continued ROA' expansion. CVS has been evolving into a full-service healthcare firm since their acquisition of Caremark in 2007, which led to initial ROA' expansion to 15%-17% levels. This was followed by continued investment in healthcare solutions and monetizing their d...
Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY:USA) currently trades above historical averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 35.5x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in bullish expectations for the firm, but management may have concerns about the effect of mix shifts and velocity on margins, their growth initiatives, and the performance of the Prepared Foods business. Specifically, management may have concerns about the sustainability of their sales performance and the...
Summary QuikTrip Corporation - Strategy, SWOT and Corporate Finance Report, is a source of comprehensive company data and information. The report covers the company's structure, operation, SWOT analysis, product and service offerings and corporate actions, providing a 360˚ view of the company. Key Highlights QuikTrip Corporation (QuickTrip, QT or 'the company') owns and operates gasoline and convenience stores across the US. The company sells gasoline, food and beverages products in its store...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY:USA) currently trades at a historical high relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 40.6x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has bullish expectations for the firm, but management may have concerns about margins, fuel profitability, and digital initiatives Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to blend up their mix towards higher-margin items, maintain strong new store contribution, and sustain improvements in overall fu...
The Only Thing We Have To Fear Is Fear Itself This powerful quote from FDR can be applied to many facets of life. When it comes to the market, fear can lead investors to buy when it is time to sell, sell when it is time to buy, or freeze up altogether. Step one in conquering this issue starts with preparation and a gameplan. In our report from last Thursday (3/12) titled “Searching For A Bottom†we laid out our gameplan and what we need to see before having confidence that equity markets ar...
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