Following the recent results season where several leading semiconductor and SPE companies globally produced either disappointing results or guidance, we look at where the semiconductor industry is at present, where it looks to be headed in 2025 and identify opportunities in the Japanese IC / SPE space.
Micron’s FY24 results are a reminder that the chip industry is still doing well. Pelham Smithers considers what is reflected in the shares price of the wafer fab equipment makers and highlights two Japanese plays that offer undemanding valuations.
A report on Bloomberg about deteriorating sentiment in the Korean memory chip market is the latest piece of tinder to feed to the growing flame of negativity towards semiconductors. While Pelham Smithers sees the overall market as mixed, what stands out is the value in several semiconductor-related plays, with four Japanese companies currently trading on EV/OPs of less than 6x.
The development of the DPU is probably as significant for the semiconductor and data centre industries as it is for the companies in the race to bring it to market. We see the DPU being a large market in its own right, but one that also facilitates a furthering of the data storage boom and AI / ML, which itself has a positive feedback loop for the semiconductor industry. Pelham Smithers discusses the key players and identifies who is punching above their weight and who is at risk of falling behi...
The general evaluation of LASERTEC (JP), a company active in the Semiconductors industry, has been upgraded by the independent financial analyst theScreener with the addition of a star. Its fundamental valuation now shows 3 out of 4 possible stars while its market behaviour can be considered as moderately risky. theScreener believes that the additional star(s) merits the upgrade of its general evaluation to Slightly Positive. As of the analysis date November 2, 2021, the closing price was JPY 26...
It has been nine years since a downturn generated sizable losses for the semiconductor industry and 12 years since the Lehman Crisis led to major structural changes. The length and size of the upcycle has led to worries that the cycle is about to peak and when it does, the downturn could be brutal for both the industry and investors. The current uncertainty is heightened by shortages in many types of semiconductors, with average delivery times pushed out to 20 weeks. Some customers are having to...
Full Article at IIR has reaffirmed its Recommended rating for PIA after undertaking a review post the appointment of a new Portfolio Manager, Harding Loevner. The full report can be found on the IIR website. On 26 July 2021, Pengana International Equities Limited (PIA) announced a fully franked dividend of 1.35 cents per share for the June quarter. This represents an 8% increase on the March quarter dividend and takes the total dividends declared for FY21 of 5.1 cents per share, fully franked....
Lower High Forming? Major global indexes are showing waning upside momentum and we believe near-term consolidation is likely. This is supported by the charts and the idea that consolidation makes sense following the massive gains off of the March lows. We also believe that the market is in a “wait-and-see†phase as it relates to states and countries re-opening. A resolution of this consolidation period above resistance (bullish) or below support (bearish) will tell us where the major global...
Battleground Spot For Global Equities Last week we highlighted what appeared to be rising wedge breakdowns in the MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, and EAFE indexes, and suggested some consolidation made sense as we get a feel for how the process of re-opening the economy is going. It ended up being a very brief consolidation period and all horizontal support levels held strong. With all the aforementioned indexes breaking above the resistance levels that we highlighted last week, it tells us momentum...
Major Indexes Testing Resistance Positive news flow surrounding COVID-19 is encouraging on many fronts, notably from a human and economic perspective (e.g., peaking infections/deaths in Italy & Spain, certain European governments making plans to ease lockdowns, and that US death projections were likely overestimated). Still, despite encouraging news and the relief rally in global equities, history tells us that this is a fairly standard bear market rally in terms of its magnitude, making us bel...
Initial Low Established Several equity indexes and indicators we watch are telling us an initial primary low has been established for global equities (ACWI-US). At the same time, after this type of major waterfall decline there is often a test of this initial low - and oftentimes we get an undercut of the initial low. Barring approval of a first-line therapy for COVID-19 we are of the belief that we will get an eventual test of this initial low and potentially an undercut. Below we provide upda...
Ford Equity International Research Reports cover 60 countries with over 30,000 stocks traded on international exchanges. A proprietary quantitative system compares each company to its peers on proven measures of business value, growth characteristics, and investor behavior. Ford's three recommendation ratings buy, hold and sell, represent each stock’s return potential relative to its own country market.. The rating reports which are generated each week, include the fundamental details behind...
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