Upgrading Consumer Staples to Overweight Our intermediate-term outlook remains bearish/cautious, and we continue to believe a prolonged downturn is likely, which has been the case since our 4/1/25 Compass. We will remain cautious and we will continue to favor defensives as long as the S&P 500 is below its 200-day MA (currently 5750) or 5785 level. There have been substantial trading opportunities in both directions, and we expect that to continue; we discussed in our 4/8/25 Compass that a logic...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
The independent financial analyst theScreener just lowered the general evaluation of BJS WHOLESALE CLUB (US), active in the Specialty Retailers industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title now shows 0 out of 4 stars while market behaviour can be considered defensive. theScreener believes that the title remains under pressure due to the loss of a star(s) and downgrades its general evaluation to Neutral. As of the analysis date January 18, 2022, the closing price was USD 59.99 and its...
Citigroup (C) looks to finally be rounding the corner of its transformational reconstruction. Uniform Accounting shows both the company's significant operational improvements, and that the market isn't pricing them in sustainably. That makes Citi a compelling buy. Citi has historically been a worst-in-class performer in terms of Uniform ROE, around 5% in the early 2010s, however these operational improvements have already lifted ROE towards peer levels, approaching double digit levels, and the...
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (BJ:USA) currently trades above recent averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 20.2x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in bearish expectations for the firm, and management may have concerns about membership renewal rates, inflationary pressures, and global supply chain challenges. Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to sustain strong membership renewal rates, high member engagement, and mitigate i...
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
Full Article at IIR has reaffirmed its Recommended rating for PIA after undertaking a review post the appointment of a new Portfolio Manager, Harding Loevner. The full report can be found on the IIR website. On 26 July 2021, Pengana International Equities Limited (PIA) announced a fully franked dividend of 1.35 cents per share for the June quarter. This represents an 8% increase on the March quarter dividend and takes the total dividends declared for FY21 of 5.1 cents per share, fully franked....
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
As with most market lows, Consumer Discretionary is likely the beneficiary of a rebound as the states re-open and the consumer returns to employment. Despite many businesses will ultimately close for good, there is some solace in a number of companies being able to once again open for business. (ex. DECK, BLD, MHO, MTH, DHI, HELE, PENN, CMG, CRMT, OLLI, RH, BKNG, HIBB, TSCO, FICE, and BJ) Healthcare remains a bright spot as many leadership stocks continue their march up and to the right. There a...
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
The Only Thing We Have To Fear Is Fear Itself This powerful quote from FDR can be applied to many facets of life. When it comes to the market, fear can lead investors to buy when it is time to sell, sell when it is time to buy, or freeze up altogether. Step one in conquering this issue starts with preparation and a gameplan. In our report from last Thursday (3/12) titled “Searching For A Bottom†we laid out our gameplan and what we need to see before having confidence that equity markets ar...
Key Points: • No one knows just how the COVID-19 plays out, but the consumer is panicking and loading up on household items to weather out the storm as store shelves empty from the possible spread of the COVID-19 virus. • We have pointed out a number of times that the high-yield spreads (spread between the 10-yr treasury and high yield) is the canary in the coal mine. Historically when this spread contracts it is a signal to indicate that investors are returning to risk assets. (see page 3)...
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