SPX Testing Resistance as Rate Cut Cycle Begins The S&P 500 (SPX) is back to test YTD highs and important resistance in the 5670-5783 range. This is an important target/resistance area we have discussed for weeks; using the 2007 SPX topping analog which has tracked the current market almost perfectly, it would suggest a 2% or less move above the prior all-time high set in July at 5670 before topping, which is where we get the 5783 number. As long as the SPX does not have a weekly close above 57...
Upgrading Health Care to Market Weight Breadth continues to improve and Russell 2000 (IWM) small-caps and the Dow remain bullish, all while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) are going through a pullback/consolidation phase. Considering the Russell 2000 vs. S&P 500 ratio is reversing a 3.5-year downtrend, we expect this trend of small-cap outperformance to continue for months or longer. We will maintain our bullish view on small-caps (IWM) and the Dow as long as they remain above $210 and 39,800,...
Moody's Investors Service (Moody's) commented that the announcement by Select Medical Holdings Corporation ("Select") that it intends to separate its wholly-owned occupational health services business, Concentra Group Holdings Parent, LLC ("Concentra"), reduces the company's overall business segment...
Downgrading Utilities and Staples to Market Weight We are starting to see some positive signals that suggest the lows for this bear market may have already been established, or at the very least, that additional downside is limited from here. At the same time, the S&P 500 remains in a 4-month downtrend, and the Russell 2000 (IWM) and Russell Micro-Caps (IWC) remain in 8.5-month downtrends. We need to see these indexes reverse their downtrends (get above 4030-4040 on SPX, $189 on IWM, and $115 o...
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
The independent financial analyst theScreener just requalified the general evaluation of SELECT MEDICAL (US), active in the Health Care Providers industry. As regards its fundamental valuation, the title still shows 1 out of 4 stars and its market behaviour is seen as moderately risky. theScreener believes that the unfavourable environment weighs on the sector and penalises the company, which sees a downgrade to its general evaluation to Slightly Negative. As of the analysis date January 14, 202...
Full Article at IIR has reaffirmed its Recommended rating for PIA after undertaking a review post the appointment of a new Portfolio Manager, Harding Loevner. The full report can be found on the IIR website. On 26 July 2021, Pengana International Equities Limited (PIA) announced a fully franked dividend of 1.35 cents per share for the June quarter. This represents an 8% increase on the March quarter dividend and takes the total dividends declared for FY21 of 5.1 cents per share, fully franked....
Risk Appetites Improving, A Bullish Sign Below we highlight several metrics which provide evidence that risk appetites are improving, not deteriorating. This is a bullish signal for the broad market. Still, we continue to see a mixed market environment, but we remain constructive overall with the S&P 500 holding above short-term support at the 50-day moving average and 4056. S&P 500. The S&P 500 remains bullish, holding above key short-term support at the 50-day moving average and 4056. If the...
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
Breakout Brewing? With the 3200-3230 support level holding strong on the S&P 500, we remain constructive over the intermediate-term as outlined in our 11/3/20 Compass. Considering current market dynamics we see eventual decisive breakouts as the most likely outcome for the major averages, which justifies our positive outlook. At the same time, with the S&P 500, Russell 2000, and Nasdaq 100 climbing 7-12% in just over a week and all three testing logical resistance, we believe there is potential...
Market Sending Mixed Signals Yesterday's break below 3425 short-term support in the S&P 500 opens the door for potential visits to 3325 and 3200, two important support levels we are watching moving forward. With that said, as long as 3200 holds (the September lows) we are constructive and would be buyers on a pullback. At the same time, small-caps are providing a risk-on signal with the Russell 2000 (IWM) still holding above $159 short-term support. Leadership from small-caps is something we wo...
Still Bullish, But Also Extended Near-Term Despite the Nasdaq 100 getting quantitatively extended, the weight of the evidence continues to suggest that our bullish outlook remains appropriate. We elaborate below and also highlight some developments we are watching that could alter our outlook. · Nasdaq 100 Quantitatively Extended. The last time the Nasdaq 100 was as 30%+ above its 200-day MA (as it is now), the year was 2000. To be clear, this is not bearish in and of itself. History ...
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