Two Directors at Duke Energy Corp sold 15,402 shares at between 109.735USD and 111.480USD. The significance rating of the trade was 83/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over t...
Recessionary Signals as SPX Tests Resistance; Downgrading Energy to Underweight Our long-term outlook remains neutral on the S&P 500 (SPX) as of our 8/6/24 Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023. Despite our expectations for a short-term rally since our 8/13/24 Compass, we still see the SPX and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) as going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation period, and market dynamics remain concerning. Current price action on the SPX is extremely similar to prior major...
Upgrading Utilities to Overweight The S&P 500 (SPX) is back near YTD highs and testing resistance in the 5670-5783 range, and we view this as an ideal time to reduce risk and shift to defensives. We continue to believe that the SPX and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) are going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation that could end up being a topping pattern. To recap, (1) in our 7/30/24 and 8/6/24 Compass reports we discussed how 5100-5191 was our target/bounce area on SPX, (2) we downgraded our long-t...
Shifting Exposure From Growth to Value Note: This is an abbreviated report (no detailed Sector comments or Russell grids). We will return to our normal report structure next week. While the market remains in consolidation/pullback mode and we are not out of the woods, it is possible that further downside is limited from here on the S&P 500. Since late-February, we have discussed important gap support from 2/22/24 at 4983-5050 on the S&P 500, and that as long as the S&P 500 is above 4983 that b...
The independent financial analyst theScreener just slightly lowered the general evaluation of DUKE ENERGY (US), active in the Multiutilities industry. The title has lost a star(s) at the fundamental level and now shows 3 out of 4 stars. Its exposure to market risk remains nonetheless the same and can be still described as defensive. theScreener slightly downgrades the general evaluation to Slightly Positive for the title on account of the lost star(s). As of the analysis date February 11, 2022, ...
CVS Health Corporation (CVS) is in the midst of a transition from pharmacy business to a massively profitable medical data and technology company. Uniform Accounting confirms that the transition is underway and that the market isn't pricing this in. Considering management's strong execution and alignment to continue executing, equity upside continues to be warranted With CVS's acquisition of Aetna, the company is pivoting its business to become a complete medical data and technology company, s...
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) currently trades near corporate but below historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 24.4x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E'). At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to improve to above cost-of-capital levels, accompanied by 3% Uniform asset growth. Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to expand to 5% in 2022, accompanied by 1% Uniform asset growth. If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $95...
Index Supports Breaking; Upgrading Utilities Indexes continue to violate our key "lines in the sand" as the Russell 2000 (IWM) broke below $208, the S&P 500 broke below 4495, and the equal-weighted Nasdaq 100 (QQEW) broke below $109. This type of damage paints a bearish picture at the index level, and will take some time to repair. Now that key supports have been violated, we are monitoring for oversold conditions that could mark a bottom. It is possible that yesterday's reversal could mark "th...
Harmonic (HLIT) has been transitioning its business away from traditional broadcasting end markets towards the streaming and cable broadband markets. Uniform Accounting highlights that the market is missing the economics of Harmonic's new business lines, indicating equity upside. As Harmonic grows its industry-leading vCMTS software to be the best-in-class broadband routing solution, it is poised to exponentially grow its profitability. Uniform ROA is projected to expand from 3% in 2020 to 9% b...
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) currently trades at a premium to Uniform assets, with a 1.3x Uniform P/B (V/A'), near historical averages. At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to improve to cost-of-capital levels, accompanied by 3% Uniform asset growth. Similarly, if sustained in perpetuity, analyst expectations for 6% Uniform ROA and 1% Uniform asset growth imply a stock price closer to $114, representing approximately 12% equity upside for the firm. That said, ...
10-Year Treasury Yield Below Key Resistance Cyclical value areas including Financials, Materials, Manufacturing, Transportation, and equal-weighted Discretionary display short-term improvement as interest rates show signs of a potential bottom at 1.13%. This is encouraging, however we are still neutral yet constructive overall. As we noted last week, we need to see the 10-year Treasury yield breach, and hold above, 1.45%, as well as sustained price improvement by small-caps (i.e., IWM above $23...
Full Article at IIR has reaffirmed its Recommended rating for PIA after undertaking a review post the appointment of a new Portfolio Manager, Harding Loevner. The full report can be found on the IIR website. On 26 July 2021, Pengana International Equities Limited (PIA) announced a fully franked dividend of 1.35 cents per share for the June quarter. This represents an 8% increase on the March quarter dividend and takes the total dividends declared for FY21 of 5.1 cents per share, fully franked....
Current market expectations for CommScope Holding Company (COMM) do not understand the company's macro tailwinds. The company supplies the technology that allows big macro trends around 5G and WiFi expansion and the Internet of Things explosion they are fueling. Its tailwinds from being an essential supplier to these markets taking off position COMM for significant upside. As booming demand accelerates in these end markets, the company's likely to see strong fundamental momentum the market is...
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