A director at Nexstar Media Group Inc sold 3,768 shares at 181.984USD and the significance rating of the trade was 78/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two year...
Last week, the FCC ruled that Nexstar’s relationship with Mission Broadcasting’s WPIX in New York City violated its rules and the national broadcast ownership cap. In this note, we discuss how this decision reflects the priorities of the current FCC, but also broader themes related to the decline of linear television and upcoming changes to both the market and the video regulatory environment.
This week we are publishing weekend updates on telecom and media. In this media update, we follow-up on our analysis of the new joint venture creating a streaming app that would air a large amount of sports programming with our analysis of the news that the DOJ is going to investigate the joint venture on antitrust grounds. As we discuss, the informal report that DOJ will consider the antitrust implications is not a surprise and is likely designed in part to assist those involved in the investig...
In this media focused note, we focus on two events that occurred last week; a House hearing on sports programming rights and speculation that media mogul Byron Allen would make a bid for Paramount Global. We think both events are occurring in an environment in which linear television, the primary transmission path for sports programming and the primary assets of Paramount are in secular decline. Yet curiously, in both the hearing and the deal speculation, there was little attention paid to the...
Yesterday, FCC Chair Rosenworcel circulated two items for a Commission vote that would help broadcasters in retransmissions disputes by forcing the cable, satellite, and telco multi-channel video program distributors (MVPDs) to reimburse consumers for blackout days during which the consumers did not get the full package that they had signed up for.
In this weekend update, we analyze the FCC’s letter to DISH about its build-out commitments and what happens next; a court ordering the FCC to do a broadcast ownership proceeding just as the line of television broadcast networks for sale gets longer; signs of hope and struggles for mobile wireless carriers yearning for more mid-band spectrum while TMUS makes progress on its 2.5GHz licenses; and lots of activity in the courts on tech, with SCOTUS taking up the challenge to the Texas and Florida s...
In this weekend update, we provide a policy perspective on: last week’s TMUS/CMSCA deal (bravo to those who crafted it), encouraging tests on the lead front for telcos, some next moves in the programmer/distribution battles that most recently featured CHTR and DIS, a week of the GOOG trial (with not a lot of clear implications for other antitrust battles), why the Senate’s AIpalooza might not really be “historic,” new legislation on TMUS spectrum licenses, a record USF contribution factor, and a...
This Back to School note seeks to update communications and tech investors on what happened in policy that affected stocks (particularly the lead issue that affected telcos, the fight between DISH and TMUS over the 800 MHz licenses, and some regulatory decisions on BEAD affecting the opportunity for all ISPs) and what is coming up in what will be a very big fall (including a new Democratic majority at the FCC, a big court argument affecting ISPs and USF, a budget showdown that could cause chaos ...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
NEXSTAR MEDIA GROUP (US), a company active in the Broadcasting & Entertainment industry, now shows a lower overall rating. The independent financial analyst theScreener just confirmed the fundamental rating of 4 stars out of 4, as well as the stock market behaviour of the title as moderately risky. However, environmental deterioration penalises the general evaluation, which is downgraded to Neutral. As of the analysis date October 12, 2021, the closing price was USD 147.91 and its expected value...
Citigroup (C) looks to finally be rounding the corner of its transformational reconstruction. Uniform Accounting shows both the company's significant operational improvements, and that the market isn't pricing them in sustainably. That makes Citi a compelling buy. Citi has historically been a worst-in-class performer in terms of Uniform ROE, around 5% in the early 2010s, however these operational improvements have already lifted ROE towards peer levels, approaching double digit levels, and the...
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with an 12.1x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in bearish expectations for the firm, and management may have concerns about leverage levels, revenue growth, and a decline in political advertising spending. Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to sustain revenue growth, maintain operating margin expansion, and manage direct operati...
Full Article at IIR has reaffirmed its Recommended rating for PIA after undertaking a review post the appointment of a new Portfolio Manager, Harding Loevner. The full report can be found on the IIR website. On 26 July 2021, Pengana International Equities Limited (PIA) announced a fully franked dividend of 1.35 cents per share for the June quarter. This represents an 8% increase on the March quarter dividend and takes the total dividends declared for FY21 of 5.1 cents per share, fully franked....
Current market expectations for GTII are for profitability to reverse impressive gains, and growth to remain high but slow significantly. Markets expect UAFRS-based ROA (Uniform ROA or ROA') to drop from a forecasted 30% in 2021 to 17% going forward, with growth falling by more than half. However, the company is primed to ride the tailwinds of cannabis legalization, which may lead to the market opportunity for Green Thumb to more than triple in the coming years. On top of that, the company ha...
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST:USA) currently trades near corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 20.5x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in bearish expectations for the firm, and management may have concerns about growth across various categories, asset sales, and advertising revenue Specifically, management may lack confidence in their ability to continue to outperform their internal performance expectations and maintain growth across auto, ret...
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
Upgrading Communications To Overweight; Financials Breaking Above 2007 Highs Ongoing market dynamics continue to support our overall bullish outlook. Recent developments include Financials (XLF) breaking above the 2007 highs, new 11+ month highs in the 10-year Treasury yield, new RS lows for defensive Sectors (Staples & Utilities), new multi-year narrows for high yield spreads, and new 2+ year highs in broad commodities (Bloomberg Commodity index). Of course, this all comes alongside an absence...
WMT currently trades above averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 29.7x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to grow from 9% in 2020 to 15% through 2025, accompanied by 1% Uniform asset shrinkage going forward. Meanwhile, analysts have less bullish expectations, projecting Uniform ROA to maintain 9% levels through 2022, accompanied by 2% Uniform asset shrinkage. Furthermore, management appears concerned about eCommerce, inventory, and Flipkar...
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NXST:USA) currently trades below corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 12.8x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market has somewhat bearish expectations for the firm, but management is confident about their local news segment, sustaining viewership levels, and News Nation Now Specifically, management is confident in their ability to provide viewers and users continuous access to local news and other services such as health and economic c...
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