Expecting SPX Rally to Fizzle at 5490-5500 or 5785 Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass) we were expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity. However, after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed in our 4/1/25 Compass how we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity, and we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious, citing several concerning developments which led us to believe a break below 5500 and the potential for a prolonged downturn was likely. A historic selloff ensued. ...
Six Directors at Franco-Nevada Corporation sold after exercising options/sold 21,700 shares at between 209.758CAD and 217.081CAD. The significance rating of the trade was 76/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trade...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
What you need to know: • The precious metals and mining market significantly outperformed broader indices in the month of March with the GDX rising 15% versus the TSX being down slightly • Gold rallied heavily following the collapse of several major banks and the U.S. Fed guiding for a pause on rates in the near term • This month only strengthens our confidence that 2023 will be a standout year for both precious metals and base metals and encourage investors to position themselves accordingly ...
Awaiting Powell's Speech Today and CPI Thursday We currently see the market indexes as consolidating within broad horizontal trading ranges, and we expect these ranges to continue for months, and quite possibly for the entirety of 2023. We see the top-end of the range at 4100-4165 on the S&P 500, while the bottom-end is at the 2022 lows (3490). In our view, reducing risk near resistance and adding risk near support will be key to outperforming in 2023 (alongside Sector/stock selection). Shorter...
FRANCO-NEVADA (CA), a company active in the Gold Mining industry, slightly increases its general evaluation. The independent financial analyst theScreener just confirmed the stock market behaviour of the title as moderately risky. At the fundamental level, theScreener confirms the rating of 0 out of 4 stars; given the more favourable environment, the title's overall rating is upgraded to Neutral even if it remains under pressure. As of the analysis date October 19, 2021, the closing price was CA...
Full Article at IIR has reaffirmed its Recommended rating for PIA after undertaking a review post the appointment of a new Portfolio Manager, Harding Loevner. The full report can be found on the IIR website. On 26 July 2021, Pengana International Equities Limited (PIA) announced a fully franked dividend of 1.35 cents per share for the June quarter. This represents an 8% increase on the March quarter dividend and takes the total dividends declared for FY21 of 5.1 cents per share, fully franked....
Bull Flag Breakout For Gold We believe the weight of the evidence suggests a mixed, but overall constructive market, and we continue to favor buying pullbacks to the 4000-4045 range on the S&P 500. S&P 500. The S&P 500 has pulled back after being extended as it ran into resistance at the megaphone pattern. We believe pullbacks should be treated as buying opportunities and we are constructive as long as the S&P 500 is above major 4000-4045 support. Continue to add exposure to cyclical value are...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
Upgrading Materials To Overweight We continue to have a bullish outlook and we believe the path of least resistance remains higher. Perhaps the most important thing which supports our bullish outlook is the continued lack of breakdowns on all S&P 500 Sectors and all the major averages. Throw in new developments which include a decisive breakdown in the US dollar, price and RS breakouts for the Materials Sector, and a bullish RS reversal for small-caps, and we continue to believe the positives h...
The Welcomed Pullback; Defensive Sector Shift The market has begun the pullback we noted in our 1/22/20 US Macro Vision. At the time, the S&P 500 was extended over 10% above its 200-day MA while the Nasdaq Composite extended over 14% above its 200-day MA, something that has happened less than 10 times over the last 20 years for each index. We also noted prior instances of these indexes reaching similar extended levels often resulted in sideways consolidation or a 5-10% pullback. Peak to trough ...
Caution remains warranted We have noted several times throughout the month of August that key support levels were being tested for global equities (8/6 Compass and 8/8, 8/15, & 8/22 Int'l Compass), and while there has yet to be a decisive breakdown, as time has passed there has been new negative developments which lead us to be even more cautious. This past Friday's test of support is no different, and we believe the market is more vulnerable to a breakdown than it has been at any other point t...
Here we go again In last week's Compass we laid the case that markets were at a key inflection point heading into the first Fed rate cut in over a decade. Despite hawkish Fed takeaways, it was the escalation in the U.S.-China trade war that was the bigger story, however both weighed on global equities. Needless to say, everything we highlighted last week as being at a key inflection point failed to resolve in a manner that was bullish for equities. Below we highlight several developments we are...
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