What’s New: In this first take following tonight’s results, we touch on: 1. 1Q24 roughly in-line, but 2Q24 and 2024 guidance lower 2. Tinder trough deepens, but still on track for 3Q24 sequential payer growth 3. Hinge growth in line with guidance: RPP better than expected, payers a little light 4. Adjusted OI margins solid, but higher GAAP items called out 5. Share buyback target moved to 75% of FCF from prior 50% target
Ahead of Tuesday PM’s earnings report, we review key controversies for MTCH, including: 1. Tinder payers: the moment of truth approaches 2. The path to $1 billion in revenue for Hinge 3. Will MTCH outspend the 50% of FCF target for share buybacks again in 2024? We also review what to look for in the investor letter and listen for on the earnings call, our top questions for management, and potential positive and negative catalysts for MTCH.
Artificial intelligence (AI) is a double-edged sword in cybersecurity. Whilst new AI models, architectures, and innovations are emerging to protect the security posture of organisations, attackers are also benefiting from deepfakes, sophisticated phishing, and automation of malicious codes. To ensure the impact of AI on cybersecurity to be a net-positive, we need to pit good AI against bad AI. Point solutions enhanced with machine learning: Global cybersecurity has been built with point soluti...
The Great Correction of 2022 saw the share prices of streamers plunge after market leader Netflix reported a slowdown/fall in subscriber growth. Having formerly been seduced by hectic subscriber growth rates, investors quickly refocused, this time on fundamental metrics such as revenue, margins, profits and cashflow. Since then, streamers have continued to take a steadily greater share of viewing while linear TV continues to decline. But growth in streaming subscribers in the US and UK is now a ...
The development of China’s auto market ytd came in as expected with sales weakening, inventories piling up and car prices falling. We maintain our forecasts on China’s 2024 PV and PEV sales growth at -6%/11% respectively, down from 10%/37% in 2023, based on a higher comparison base in 2023, the rollback of stimulus and destocking. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Ganfeng Lithium. Downgrade Li Auto from BUY to SELL, and downgrade Great Wall Motor from BUY to HOLD.
PEV insurance registrations in China grew 76% yoy and fell 20.3% mom/46% wow in the first week of 2024. However, PEV market share fell from 40% in early-Dec 23 to 31% during the week. Except for Aito, all EV brands saw a drop in insurance registrations, including BYD, Tesla, Li Auto and XPeng, as the year-end promotions had exhausted buying power. We keep our 2024 China PEV sales forecast at 9.9m units (+11% yoy). Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: BYD, XPeng and Ganfeng Lithium.
Over the holidays, the FCC adopted a Report and Order completing the 2018 quadrennial review of the Commission's broadcast ownership rules, upholding its current media ownership rules with only minor modifications. In this note, we quickly review what the FCC did, the implications for investors, and the broader shifts that will eventually cause a major shift in those rules (as well as what we think investors are missing in their policy analysis of a potential Discovery/Warner/Paramount deal).
There are multiple news reports that Warner Bros./Discovery (WBD) and Paramount Global (PARA) are considering a merger. In this note, we provide a quick initial assessment of potential path for government approval of such a transaction.
We hold an optimistic outlook on the rebound of GRM and anticipate limited downside of crude oil prices. The oil & gas sector is an appealing investment opportunity, particularly in the refinery business, where we expect a return to core profit levels in 1Q24, despite maintaining a pessimistic stance on the petrochemical sector due to the ongoing supply increase. In the oil & gas sector, we prefer PTTEP, Thai Oil, and BSRC. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.
South Korean telco saw a slower quarter as improvements at SKT and LG were offset by KT’s slowdown, attributable to its subsidiaries (slower BC Card, declines at Content and Skylife). Nevertheless, core mobile and Enterprise trends improved, with broadband stable.
DISCOVERY INC (US), a company active in the Broadcasting & Entertainment industry, slightly increases its general evaluation. The independent financial analyst theScreener just confirmed the stock market behaviour of the title as moderately risky. At the fundamental level, theScreener confirms the rating of 0 out of 4 stars; given the more favourable environment, the title's overall rating is upgraded to Neutral even if it remains under pressure. As of the analysis date April 5, 2022, the closin...
In this product we rank the most positive and negative domestic stocks, filter the symbols by market-cap and trading volume, and then divide the companies into sectors and groups. We then manually look through charts leadership/changes, bottoms-up/top-down ideas, short-term patterns that may have long-term significance, etc. We believe you will find this product valuable as significant price and relative moves begin in the daily charts.
Streaming is the most disruptive force in video media. Globally, streamed video services continue to grow, led by the US majors, apparently at the expense of non-streamed and advertising-dependent broadcasters. Recent trading announcements by leading streamers and leading UK broadcasters point in two directions: streaming growth in the North American market is slowing, according to figures from Netflix and Disney, while UK public service broadcasters (PSBs) reported a strong advertising recovery...
Full Article at IIR has reaffirmed its Recommended rating for PIA after undertaking a review post the appointment of a new Portfolio Manager, Harding Loevner. The full report can be found on the IIR website. On 26 July 2021, Pengana International Equities Limited (PIA) announced a fully franked dividend of 1.35 cents per share for the June quarter. This represents an 8% increase on the March quarter dividend and takes the total dividends declared for FY21 of 5.1 cents per share, fully franked....
Upgrading Communications To Overweight; Financials Breaking Above 2007 Highs Ongoing market dynamics continue to support our overall bullish outlook. Recent developments include Financials (XLF) breaking above the 2007 highs, new 11+ month highs in the 10-year Treasury yield, new RS lows for defensive Sectors (Staples & Utilities), new multi-year narrows for high yield spreads, and new 2+ year highs in broad commodities (Bloomberg Commodity index). Of course, this all comes alongside an absence...
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