Two Directors at Restaurant Brands International Inc sold/sold after exercising options 35,500 shares at between 68.120USD and 68.380USD. The significance rating of the trade was 74/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretiona...
STRATEGY Market dynamics remain risk-on, and our outlook remains bullish as long as the S&P 500 remains above 5850 and 5600-5670. Shorter-term, the S&P 500 remains above the prior bull flag support (currently 5900) that we have discussed over the past two weeks in our Compass reports, and is coiling for a likely breakout above 6100 resistance. As discussed throughout the first half of January in our Compass reports, we continue to believe that tariffs will mostly be used as a negotiation tacti...
A director at Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc bought 4,750 shares at 210.813USD and the significance rating of the trade was 74/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last t...
U.S. Dollar (DXY) Rolling Over Large-cap indexes (S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and DJI) remain bullish, all hitting new all-time highs last week while continuing to find short-term support at their respective 20-day MAs. Mid-caps (S&P 400, Russell Mid-Cap) are starting another leg higher following breakouts from 2-month consolidations. Small-caps (S&P 600, Russell 2000) are likely to follow in the footsteps of large- and mid-caps, and are likely to break out from their 2.5-month consolidations/high bas...
The general evaluation of HILTON WORLDWIDE (US), a company active in the Hotels industry, has been upgraded by the independent financial analyst theScreener with the addition of a star. Its fundamental valuation now shows 4 out of 4 possible stars while its market behaviour can be considered as moderately risky. theScreener believes that the additional star(s) merits the upgrade of its general evaluation to Slightly Positive. As of the analysis date April 5, 2022, the closing price was USD 151.5...
The general evaluation of RESTAURANT BRANDS INTL. (CA), a company active in the Restaurants & Bars industry, has been upgraded by the independent financial analyst theScreener with the addition of a star. Its fundamental valuation now shows 4 out of 4 possible stars while its market behaviour can be considered as moderately risky. theScreener believes that the additional star(s) merits the upgrade of its general evaluation to Slightly Positive. As of the analysis date April 5, 2022, the closing ...
HTLF (HTLF) has been expanding its scale, helping to improve ROE and drive significant equity growth. Uniform Accounting highlights the company's operational improvements that the market is missing, indicating equity upside. HTLF has been acquiring banks to expand away from the Midwest and into the American West and Southwest. These banks are positioned in higher growth parts of the country, and the company's larger scale has helped improve profitability that the market is not pricing in. ...
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) currently trades above corporate but below historical averages relative to Uniform earnings, with a 34.3x Uniform P/E (Fwd. V/E'). At these levels, markets are pricing in expectations for Uniform ROA to expand to 116%, accompanied by 3% Uniform asset growth. Meanwhile, analysts expect Uniform ROA to improve to 65% in 2022, accompanied by 85% Uniform asset growth. If sustained going forward, these levels would imply a stock price closer to $1101, representi...
Risk Appetites Improving While we are not yet out of the woods, we are seeing several encouraging signals that indicate improving risk appetites. Additionally, we are starting to see improvement within the Consumer Discretionary (hotels/resorts, casinos, leisure, cruises), Transportation (airlines), and Materials (metals/mining) Sectors; the fact that more areas are becoming attractive (and not just Energy and Financials) is a step in the right direction for bulls. Risk-On Signals. We are seei...
Upgrading Energy To Overweight Last week we noted that in order for us to turn bullish on the broad market, we need to see breakouts to YTD highs in small-caps (IWM), Financials (XLF), Energy (XOP), and equal-weighted Discretionary (RCD). We now have the breakout we needed in Energy (RYE, XOP), but the other areas are still consolidating. Therefore, we still see a mixed market and we remain neutral yet constructive overall. Upgrading Energy. We are upgrading Energy to overweight -- add exposur...
Current expectations for Aramark (ARMK) don't seem to understand the company from a macro or strategic perspective. At current valuations, the market expects the food, facilities, and uniform outsourcing business to never fully recover from the pandemic, and to have sustained operational issues. Investors do not appear to recognize the extent to which the world is re-opening, nor the economic tailwind that will be for Aramark's business. More companies may be looking to outsource these offer...
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT:USA) currently trades above corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 32.1x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in bullish expectations for the firm, and management is confident about improvements in rates levels, Waldorf Astoria brand additions, and their Honors program. Specifically, management is confident their performance is recovering and rate levels are improving very rapidly. In addition, they are confident ...
The market is expecting STZ to see the fundamental momentum the company has built the past decade between a shift to a premiumization strategy and the move into beer to reveres due to the pandemic. The market expects the company, which has seen UAFRS-based (Uniform) ROA improve from 10% levels to almost 30% to decline to the low end of levels since its Grupo Modelo acquisition, not recognizing the company's strong business model that is unlikely to be disrupted. Constellation's strong pro...
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT:USA) currently trades above corporate averages relative to UAFRS-based (Uniform) earnings, with a 35.6x Uniform P/E. At these levels, the market is pricing in bullish expectations for the firm, and management is confident in their service mix, that markets are recovering, and the reduction of construction numbers. Specifically, management is confident their service mix has performed steadily, that markets are recovering on a room night basis, and the reducti...
Full Article at IIR has reaffirmed its Recommended rating for PIA after undertaking a review post the appointment of a new Portfolio Manager, Harding Loevner. The full report can be found on the IIR website. On 26 July 2021, Pengana International Equities Limited (PIA) announced a fully franked dividend of 1.35 cents per share for the June quarter. This represents an 8% increase on the March quarter dividend and takes the total dividends declared for FY21 of 5.1 cents per share, fully franked....
Add To Value, Cyclicals The weight of the evidence remains positive and we continue to recommend adding exposure on pullbacks. Value and cyclical Sectors remain our favorite areas to be invested, and recent bullish price and RS inflections within Energy and Financials suggest they are likely resuming their leadership status -- add exposure. S&P 500. The S&P 500 remains bullish as it hovers near potential resistance at the megaphone pattern. Short-term support levels to watch include 4175 and 4...
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